Abstract

The article deals with global forecasting of social development, as well as with the conceptions and possible scenarios for holistic development of mankind. It is justified that contemporary concepts of the world reorganization should consider different dynamics of the country’s civilizational development, its values and traditional culture. The article emphasizes that outlines of processes, oriented towards the formation of a new world order, began to emerge in the 70s of the last century. It is manifested that in modern society, forecasting the future is an integral part of substantiating worldview interpretations of modern phenomena and processes, reflecting optimistic and pessimistic future scenarios, ideals and value perspectives. It is proved that main ideologists and participants in these processes were the Club of Rome, later the Bilderberg Club, the Trilateral Commission, think tanks such as the RAND Corporation, the Santa Fe Institute and others. General principles developed by them were specified in the work of the IMF, the World Bank, WTO, etc. It is defined that since the 1990s, a philosophical-historical and socio-political orientation of a global nature has become a characteristic feature of prognostic concepts. The idea of the „end of history” by F. Fukuyama that validates the post-communist triumph of the liberal-democratic ideas and the onset of historical calm because of liberal democracy victory throughout the geopolitical space. The other one is the „clash of civilizations” idea by S. Huntington, claiming that after the collapse of bipolar world the mankind would face the sharpening of contradictions and the clash of civilizations consolidated around traditional religions. The author concluded that hybrid war, at the epicenter of which Ukraine has been for more than seven years, is not just a local situation, but an element of a new world order that can be defined as a hybrid world order. It is based on a proxy politics technology using information technologies for the collective conscious and collective subconscious systemic manipulations to change person’s or group’s behavior through stimulus, coercion, or conviction. This involves mainly political, economic, informational, institutional, demographic, technical, social, and other resources, rather than military ones. Key words: futurology, global development, civilization, clash of civilizations, information wars, world reorganization, international security, national security.

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