Models for Computing Emission of Carbon Dioxide from Liquid Fuel in Nigeria

Abstract

In this paper, Carbon dioxide emission from the liquid fuel supplied in Nigeria by the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) from 2009 to 2013 is analysed. The CO2 emissions and CO2 emission per capita within the given period are computed and projected emission from 2013 to 2025 made using the greenhouse training equation, artificial neural network (ANN) model and polynomial interpolation method and nonlinear fitting method. The available data from the Nigerian National Petroleum Cooperation (NNPC) is extrapolate from 2013 to 2020 using the polynomial interpolation method and the nonlinear fitting method is utilised to fit the data from 2009 to 2030. It is found that CO2 emission and CO2 emission per capita into the air for Nigeria decreased from 2009 to 2011 but, however, increasing continuously from 2012 to 2025. The increase of carbon dioxide in the Nigerian air space with will pose potential problems in future. Policy must be put in place to reduce carbon dioxide emission by reducing of flaring of natural gasses, introduce electric railways and other energy sources that are based on renewable energy. Enforcement of afforestation and greenhouse gasses emission reduction policies on the country for ecological development. There are other sources of pollution of the atmosphere with CO2 such as flaring of gasses from refineries in Kaduna and Niger Delta areas of Nigeria and burning of bush and burning of solid fuel such as coal in the industries that our research did not cover. These other sources also contribute substantially to CO2 emission in Nigeria.