Abstract

The application of Markov chains in the project-oriented management in the field of labor protection is considered and some of the results of studies of the portfolio of labor protection projects are given. The main objective of the study is to develop a model of portfolio management of labor protection projects, which reproduces a fragment of the general scheme of interaction between the main entities of labor protection projects of different orientations. In conditions of limiting resources in industrial enterprises, rational management of labor protection projects is necessary. It is determined that the launch of new labor protection projects of a corresponding orientation, in a unified portfolio of projects, allows to obtain the expected increase in the level of labor protection in an industrial enterprise. Realization of this is possible through the creation of a portfolio of labor protection projects. The quality of the formation of the portfolio of labor protection projects directly affects the level of labor protection, and thus the level of industrial safety. A model of project portfolio management is developed, which reproduces a fragment of the general scheme of interaction of labor protection projects of different directions. At the same time, the Markov chain is an element of the occupational safety and health management systems of the enterprise as a whole and includes legal, socio-economic, organizational and technical, medical, preventive and sanitary-hygienic occupational safety projects, which allows to determine changes in the state of the system and to form the necessary control actions in portfolio of labor protection projects. The reduced mathematical description of the model of the portfolio of projects of the Markov chain allows one to model the quantitative parameters of the system, namely, the changes in the probabilities of the states of the system. The application of the Markov model makes it possible to take into account the impact of each focus of the labor protection project in a single portfolio.

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