Metal Mixture Inflammatory Index and diabetes risk in US adults: a cross-sectional analysis of NHANES 1999–2020 and development of a LASSO-based prediction model

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IntroductionEnvironmental heavy-metal mixtures may contribute to diabetes risk, yet their combined effects remain understudied. We investigated the association between the Metal Mixture Inflammatory Index (MMII) and prevalent diabetes in US adults.Research design and methodsWe analyzed data from 23 288 participants in the 1999–2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Survey-weighted logistic regression, restricted cubic splines (RCS), and stratified analyses assessed the relationship between MMII and diabetes. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression identified key predictors, which were incorporated into a nomogram. Model performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis.ResultsAfter multivariable adjustment, each 0.1-unit increase in MMII was associated with 2% higher odds of diabetes (OR=1.02; 95% CI 1.00 to 1.04; p=0.02). Participants in the highest quartile (Q4) had 26% greater odds than those in the lowest quartile (Q1) (OR=1.26; 95% CI 1.04 to 1.52; p=0.016). RCS analysis indicated a linear positive association between MMII and diabetes risk. Subgroup analyses revealed stronger associations among men, non-Hispanic white participants, former smokers, current alcohol users, and individuals without hypertension. The LASSO-based nomogram demonstrated excellent discrimination (AUC=0.869; 95% CI 0.863 to 0.875), good calibration, and net clinical benefit.ConclusionsMMII is independently and linearly associated with diabetes risk. Metal exposures may enhance future risk stratification for diabetes. Prospective studies are warranted to confirm causal mechanisms.

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Diabetes Risks of Statin Therapy—Coenzyme Q10 May Help
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The Association Between Periodontitis and the Prevalence and Prognosis of Metabolic Syndrome.
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The comprehensive relationship between combined anti-inflammatory and healthy diets and all-cause mortality in rheumatoid arthritis: results from NHANES 2003–2018
  • Jan 1, 2024
  • Arthritis Research & Therapy
  • Penghe Wang + 6 more

BackgroundRheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a chronic, systemic autoimmune inflammatory disorder. Diet is recognized as a modifiable factor that may influence inflammation and potentially accelerate RA progression. Nevertheless, the effects of diverse dietary patterns and their combined impact on RA progression and long-term mortality remain inadequately understood. This study examined the association between dietary patterns and mortality in patients with RA, focusing on the Healthy Eating Index (HEI-2015) and Dietary Inflammatory Index (DII) and evaluating their combined effects.MethodsThe analysis included 2,069 patients with RA from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) spanning 2003–2018. Weighted multi-variable Cox regression models estimated the relationship between the DII, HEI-2015, combined dietary patterns, and all-cause mortality in patients with RA. Linear associations between the DII, HEI-2015, and all-cause mortality were analyzed using restricted cubic splines (RCS). Dietary factors associated with mortality were identified through the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) method, and subgroup and sensitivity analyses were conducted to strengthen the findings.ResultsParticipants had a median age of 59 years (IQR: 48–69), with 42.1% male. Adjusting for potential confounders, the hazard ratio (HR) for individuals adhering to healthy and anti-inflammatory dietary patterns, as opposed to unhealthy and pro-inflammatory patterns, was 0.70 (95% CI: 0.53–0.92; adjusted P = 0.01; trend P = 0.02). In weighted Cox analyses of the DII and HEI-2015, higher quartiles showed no significant mortality risk difference from the lowest quartiles. The LASSO-Cox model identified 12 dietary components predictive of all-cause mortality in patients with RA, with an AUC of 0.749 (0.682–0.815) at 1 year, 0.763 (0.724–0.802) at 3 years, 0.783 (0.749–0.802) at 5 years, and 0.868 (0.712–0.938) for all death events. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that the low-risk dietary group exhibited significantly lower mortality compared to the high-risk group (P < 0.001).ConclusionsThese findings suggest that combining a higher HEI-2015 with a lower DII score correlates with reduced all-cause mortality risk among patients with RA, supporting dietary modification as a potential strategy to prevent premature death in this population.Graphic abstractSupplementary InformationThe online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13075-024-03462-y.

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