Abstract
The aim of the study is to analyze, systematize, and formulate scenarios for managing the integration of digital and intelligent technologies in the informatization of education based on the influence of the factors of the existing external environment. It was shown that digital transformation is a process of digital technology integration into all aspects of business activities, requiring fundamental changes in technology, culture, operations, and principles of creating new products and services. Simulation models of digital and intelligent technologies in informatization of education are proposed. Possible scenarios for the development of the education system are described: inertial and transformational. A new viable base scenario is proposed, which can be called a divergent, or school dilution scenario. It is illustrated that these three rather general scenarios show the possible place and role of digital and intellectual technologies in the changes taking place in the informatization of education today.
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