Abstract
The mapping of malaria risk has a history stretching back over 100 years. The last decade, however, has seen dramatic progress in the scope, rigour and sophistication of malaria mapping such that its global distribution is now probably better understood than any other infectious disease. In this minireview we consider the main factors that have facilitated the recent proliferation of malaria risk mapping efforts and describe the most prominent global-scale endemicity mapping endeavours of recent years. We describe the diversification of malaria mapping to span a wide range of related metrics of biological and public health importance and consider prospects for the future of the science including its key role in supporting elimination efforts.
Highlights
Like most vector-borne diseases, malaria endemicity is partly determined by the local environment that houses its human and anopheline hosts and mediates the interactions between them
This represented a major synthesis of historical records, maps of various malaria metrics and expert opinion and yielded a global map of malaria endemicity at the assumed peak of transmission intensity around the start of the 20th century
It is nearly half a century since the Lysenko map was published and, during most of that period, few efforts were made to improve on it. Initiatives such as the continent-wide Mapping Malaria Risk in Africa/Atlas du Risque de la Malaria en Afrique (MARA/ARMA) project [6], instigated in 1997, and 8 years later the global Malaria Atlas Project (MAP) [7], catalysed a renaissance that has transformed the science of malaria risk mapping and its role in contemporary efforts to control, progressively eliminate and eradicate malaria. In this minireview we present a condensed overview of: (i) the main factors that have facilitated the recent proliferation of malaria risk mapping efforts; (ii) prominent global-scale endemicity mapping endeavours of recent years; (iii) the diversification of malaria mapping to span a wide range of related metrics of biological and public health importance; and (iv) prospects for the future of the science including its key role in supporting elimination efforts
Summary
Like most vector-borne diseases, malaria endemicity is partly determined by the local environment that houses its human and anopheline hosts and mediates the interactions between them. Contemporary maps of continental and global endemicity Numerous studies have developed Bayesian geostatistical models to create national or multi-national maps of malaria risk, often intended to aid national malaria control programme policy decisions in specific regions and improve understanding of within-country patterns of spatial heterogeneity in malaria transmission and burden [26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38].
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