Abstract
BackgroundShandong Province experienced a declining malaria trend of local-acquired transmission, but the increasing imported malaria remains a challenge. Therefore, understanding the epidemiological characteristics of malaria and the control and elimination strategy and interventions is needed for better planning to achieve the overall elimination goal in Shandong Province.MethodsA retrospective study was conducted and all individual cases from a web-based reporting system were reviewed and analysed to explore malaria-endemic characteristics in Shandong from 2005 to 2015. Annual malaria incidence reported in 2005–2015 were geo-coded and matched to the county-level. Spatial cluster analysis was performed to evaluate any identified spatial disease clusters for statistical significance. The space–time cluster was detected with high rates through the retrospective space–time analysis scanning using the discrete Poisson model.ResultsThe overall malaria incidence decreased to a low level during 2005–2015. In total, 1564 confirmed malaria cases were reported, 27.1% of which (n = 424) were indigenous cases. Most of the indigenous case (n = 339, 80.0%) occurred from June to October. However, the number and scale of imported cases have been increased but no significant difference was observed during months. Shandong is endemic for both Plasmodium vivax (n = 730) and Plasmodium falciparum (n = 674). The disease is mainly distributed in Southern (n = 710) and Eastern region (n = 424) of Shandong, such as Jinning (n = 214 [13.7%]), Weihai (n = 151 [9.7%]), and Yantai (n = 107 [6.8%]). Furthermore, the spatial cluster analysis of malaria cases from 2005 to 2015 indicated that the diseased was not randomly distributed. For indigenous cases, a total of 15 and 2 high-risk counties were determined from 2005 to 2009 (control phase) and from 2010 to 2015 (elimination phase), respectively. For imported cases, a total of 26 and 29 high-risk counties were determined from 2005 to 2009 (control phase) and from 2010 to 2015 (elimination phase), respectively. The method of spatial scan statistics identified different 13 significant spatial clusters between 2005 and 2015. The space–time clustering analysis determined that the most likely cluster included 14 and 19 counties for indigenous and imported, respectively.ConclusionsIn order to cope with the requirements of malaria elimination phase, the surveillance system should be strengthened particularity on the frequent migration regions as well as the effective multisectoral cooperation and coordination mechanisms. Specific response packages should be tailored among different types of cities and capacity building should also be improved mainly focus on the emergence response and case management. Fund guarantees for scientific research should be maintained both during the elimination and post-elimination phase to consolidate the achievements of malaria elimination.
Highlights
Shandong Province experienced a declining malaria trend of local-acquired transmission, but the increasing imported malaria remains a challenge
Fund guarantees for scientific research should be maintained both during the elimination and post-elimination phase to consolidate the achievements of malaria elimination
Type II means that the local infections are detected in three consecutive years, and the incident rate is lower than 1/10,000 at least in one of those 3 years, and preventing any possible malaria cases and active foci is the main strategy to interrupt local transmissions
Summary
Shandong Province experienced a declining malaria trend of local-acquired transmission, but the increasing imported malaria remains a challenge. Shandong Province had been once a high malaria transmission area in China. From 2004 to 2008, the central region including Anhui, Jiangsu and Shandong provinces suffered the reemergence of local transmission and the incidence in Shandong was reached to peak in 2007 with 0.019 per 10,000 [2]. Type III implies that no local infections reported in 3 years, the capabilities of malaria surveillance and response will be emphasized to prevent malaria reintroduction (Table 1) [5]. The malaria surveillance-response system in Shandong had reshaped in line with the guidelines to rapidly detect and identify all malaria infections and ensured appropriate treatment before any secondary cases or local transmission may occur
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
