Long-term prognosis of patients with ulcerative colitis in Japan.

Abstract

Even though it is important in improving the quality of life to evaluate the long-term prognosis of patients with ulcerative colitis in comparison with the general population, it is unknown in detail. One hundred and seventeen cases followed-up for 10 years or more were evaluated to define the long-term prognosis of ulcerative colitis by the person-years method. The estimated number of death (E) was 14.5, and the observed number of death (O) was 20. The O/E ratio was 1.38 and confidence interval was 0.84-2.13, showing no significant difference between E and O. Evaluation of change in the O/E ratio at 5-year intervals revealed a decrease in both the males and females, with a significant difference observed between the ratios in 1960 and 1965 (each p < 0.05). Generally, the death rate was significantly higher in the patients with ulcerative clitis than in the general population between 1953 and 1965 but did not significantly differ thereafter. On the other hand, the E from malignant tumors was 3.94, and the O was 4; the O/E ratio was 1.02 and 95% confidence interval was 0.27-2.60, showing no significant difference between E and O.