Long-term exposure to fine particulate matter constituents, genetic susceptibility, and incident heart failure among 411 807 adults.

Abstract

Long-term fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure has been linked to incident heart failure (HF), but the impacts of its constituents remain unknown. We aimed to investigate the associations of PM2.5 constituents with incident HF, and further evaluate the modification effects of genetic susceptibility. PM2.5 and its constituents, including elemental carbon (EC), organic matter (OM), ammonium (NH4 +), nitrate (NO3 -), and sulfate (SO4 2-), were estimated using the European Monitoring and Evaluation Programme model applied to the UK (EMEP4UK) driven by Weather and Research Forecast model meteorology. A polygenic risk score (PRS) was calculated to represent genetic susceptibility to HF. We employed Cox models to evaluate the associations of PM2.5 constituents with incident HF. Quantile-based g-computation model was used to identify the main contributor of PM2.5 constituents. Among 411 807 individuals in the UK Biobank, 7554 participants developed HF during a median follow-up of 12.05 years. The adjusted hazard ratios of HF for each interquartile range increase in PM2.5, EC, OM, NH4 +, NO3 -, and SO4 2- were 1.50 (1.46-1.54), 1.31 (1.27-1.34), 1.12 (1.09-1.15), 1.42 (1.41-1.44), 1.26 (1.23-1.29), and 1.25 (1.24-1.26), respectively. EC (43%) played the most important role, followed by NH4 + and SO4 2-. Moreover, synergistic additive interactions accounted for 9-16% of the HF events in individuals exposed to both PM2.5, NH4 +, NO3 -, and SO4 2- and PRS. Long-term exposure to PM2.5 constituents may elevate HF risk, and EC was the major contributor. Additive effects of PM2.5 constituents and PRS on HF risk were revealed.