Limited sampling strategy to predict mycophenolic acid area under the curve in pediatric patients with nephrotic syndrome: a retrospective cohort study

Abstract

PurposeLimited sampling strategy (LSS) is a precise and relatively convenient therapeutic drug monitoring method. We evaluated LSSs for mycophenolic acid (MPA) in children with nephrotic syndrome treated with mycophenolic mofetil (MMF) and validated the LSSs using two different approaches.MethodsWe measured MPA plasma concentrations in 31 children using HPLC-UV method and received 37 MPA pharmacokinetic profiles (0–12 h). For six children, MPA profiles were estimated twice after two MMF doses. LSSs were developed using multilinear regression with STATISTICA and R software and validated using validation group and bootstrap method, respectively.ResultsThe best three time point equations included C1, C3, C6 (good guess 83%, bias − 2.78%; 95% confidence interval (CI) − 9.85–0.46); C1, C2, C6 (good guess 72%, bias 0.72%; 95% CI − 5.33–7.69); and C1, C2, C4 (good guess 72%, bias 2.05%; 95% CI − 4.92–13.01) for STATISTICA software. For R software, the best equations consisted of C1, C3, C6 (good guess 92%, bias − 2.69%; 95% CI − 27.18–33.75); C0, C1, C3 (good guess 84%, bias − 2.11%; 95% CI − 24.19–22.29); and C0, C1, C2 (good guess 84%, bias − 0.48%; 95% CI − 30.77–54.07). During validation, better results were obtained for R evaluations, i.e., bootstrap method.ConclusionsThe most useful equations included C0, C1, C3 and C0, C1, C2 time points; however, the most precise included C1, C3, C6 time points because of MPA enterohepatic recirculation. Better results were obtained for bootstrap validation due to greater number of patients. Validated LSS should be used only in the population for which it was developed. As there is growing evidence that underexposure of MPA is associated with insufficient treatment response, we recommend the introduction of therapeutic drug monitoring for MPA in children with nephrotic syndrome.