Abstract

The horseshoe area of East Java is an area that has abundant natural resource potential. In the northern part of the horseshoe region there is a very good biological natural resource with the potential to be used as a food source. Meanwhile, in the southern part is rich with biological and mining potential. This potential causes changes in land use in the northern and southern regions which can trigger landslides in the Horseshoe area. Changes in land use that change the topography and vegetation to become steep and barren will have a very significant impact on landslides. This study aims to map and predict areas affected by erosions using environmental and physical data using Geographic Information System (GIS) Analysis. The results of the mapping are areas that have threats and are vulnerable as well as capacity to erosion. Based on the results of the mapping, it shows that the index of threats greatly influences the hazard of landslides that occur in the area. Based on the result of the mapping, it shows that the disaster mitigation and adaptation strategy is to reduce the threat index or very high vulnerabilities that affect the risk of landslides that occur in an area.

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