Abstract

Land value gains attributable to the light rail system on the Gold Coast, Australia, are estimated. Using the full history of statutory land valuations of Gold Coast properties, a model of location-specific gains is estimated, allowing for price effects at multiple distances from stations across time. Total value gains to nearby landowners are $300 million, or 25% of the capital cost of the project, This estimate is net of automatic property tax increases of $4.8million in 2015-16. Substantial additional scope to fund transport investment from value gains is apparent.

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