La misura dell'attendibilitŕ dei modelli di previsione e l'unitŕ del sapere

Abstract

- The reliability of predictive models is assured by the ability to establish a unity of knowledge, or rather of many branches of knowledge. This is the idea that leads the author to reflect on the prediction derived first of all from the "science café", defined as "a talking shop for scholars from a range of disciplines", who represent many branches of knowledge which are in fact a complete whole - "knowledge". The background for the predictive model discussed here is territorial planning, which encompasses an instrumental-explanatory component, a predictive component and an ideal. The construction of the predictive model and the degree of its reliability are produced by the process of unifying knowledge, and this confluence derives from knowledge of geographers, biologists, chemists, engineers, architects, agronomists, sociologists and private citizens. General Urban Development Plans stand as the instrumental and predictive model in which a certain unification of knowledge - at least operational - is achieved.