Abstract

This paper deals with the non-proliferation implications of laser enrichment technology that is not remotely observable by any known technical means. Laser enrichment technology is still under development but there are indications that it will soon emerge as a substantially less expensive means of producing low enriched uranium for nuclear power reactors and perhaps for producing high enriched uranium for the purposes of nuclear explosives. The dynamics of technological change may lead to the emergence of new producers of enriched uranium, threatening to erode the current comparative advantage of major producers, particularly those relying upon centrifuge enrichment. At the same time, the current major producers have symmetrical interests in curbing the spread of technologies which may make the path to surreptitious nuclear explosives difficult to detect at a distance using national technical means. This paper explores the implications of symmetrical interests in collaborating to contain the proliferation implications of laser isotope enrichment.

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