Abstract
This paper explores the bond flows dynamics for a set of emerging market economies. It documents that these flows have, in general, positive co-movements, and exhibit risk-reversals, and negative feedback with their associated risk premiums. A number of mechanisms could explain these features. However, we find evidence that lends support to the presence of the risk-taking channel. In particular, we find indications that unexpected changes in US monetary policy affect such dynamics, and that their effects seem to have grown with the size of the international investors’ position in emerging market economies’ bonds. The main results are robust to different measures of the US monetary policy stance, and to the use of macroeconomic and financial variables as controls. Our broader interest is the potential financial stability risks building up, which could materialize as US monetary policy normalizes.
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
