Intelligent Trip Modeling on Ramps using ramp classification and knowledge base

Abstract

Speed profile prediction on ramps is a challenging problem because speed changes on ramps involve complicated lane maneuvering and frequent acceleration or deceleration depending on geometry of the ramp and traffic volumes. Ramps can be categorized into three groups based on their interconnection of freeway: freeway entering ramps, freeway exit ramps, and inter freeway ramps. However, different geographical shapes of ramps within the same category cause different speed profile distributions. To predict speed profile on any ramp types, we proposed an Intelligent Trip Modeling on Ramp (ITMR) System that consists of a ramp classification method based on the decision tree and speed profile prediction neural networks. The proposed ITMR takes inputs from geographical data on the route and also the personal driving pattern extracted from the knowledge base built with the individual historical driving data. Experimental results show that the proposed system learned dynamic ramp speed changes very well to provide accurate prediction results on multiple freeway entering ramps, exit ramps and inter freeway ramps.