Inflation risk management with global supply disruptions: Evidence from Mexico

PurposeMotivated by the severe impact of global supply chain disruptions and the lack of understanding of supply chain resilience from an SME exporter perspective in the international marketing literature, this paper sets out to explore how SME exporters achieve resilience through strategic choices related to sourcing and manufacturing during global disruptions.Design/methodology/approachThe study adopts a qualitative, multiple-case-studies approach to identify the key strategic drivers and contextual factors influencing SME exporters’ supply chain resilience. Our study adopted an SME exporter perspective and featured an unprecedented global supply chain disruption context. New Zealand (NZ) was chosen as the key home country context for the participants of this study. Five NZ SME exporters were selected for our case studies.FindingsThis study redefines buffering, bridging and a mixed strategy for an SME exporter facing global supply chain disruptions. SME exporters with high situational control are likely to pursue a buffering strategy that reduces their resource dependence on foreign suppliers and their reliance on information support from these suppliers. In contrast, when the firm perceives little control over the supply chain, it will decide upon a bridging strategy that aims to build solid relationships with supply chain partners. Exporters opt for a mixed strategy when they do not see themselves clearly in high or low situational control.Research limitations/implicationsAs global disruptions arise and evolve, supply chain uncertainty and exporters’ sense of situational control manifest differently across industries, product lines, markets and sourcing countries. It is essential to understand that firms can choose a mixed strategy based on these supply chain conditions. While our study was fortuitously timed, conducting multi-country studies could provide more comparative insights that transcend national borders. Additionally, our study did not examine organizational and capability-based factors. Future research may benefit from exploring how an SME exporter develops strategic capabilities to achieve resilience over its lifetime.Practical implicationsBusinesses see survival as the most pivotal concern during a global supply chain disruption. Many companies have had to make on-the-spot decisions about whether they should shift or redesign their supply chains in the middle of a global disruption. There is no “best strategy” for an SME exporter to take. Rather, managers should make strategic decisions based on how much control or influence they have over a particular part of their supply chain. The level of control is determined by the SME exporter’s overall resource dependencies and information needs in particular parts of their supply chain.Originality/valueWe adopt resource dependence theory and information processing theory to guide our study and place exporters' situational control in the centre of drivers to firms' strategic choices during global disruptions. We make a novel attempt to incorporate the contextual conditions of the COVID-19 pandemic into the theorization of supply chain resilience. We make managerial recommendations to help SME exporters navigate global supply chain disruption challenges.

A research agenda to reflect reality: On being responsive

During a pandemic like COVID-19, the country adopted a lockdown to minizine the spread of the pandemic which disrupted the global supply chain and supply chain resilience failed to minimize disruption. In this regard, this study aims to explore the resilience system among countries during a global disruption and the impact of supply chain disruption on supply chain resilience through misinformation/fake news, panic buying behavior, and inflation factors. For this purpose, the analytical study has been selected to predict the impact of supply chain disruption on supply chain resilience through misinformation/fake news, panic buying behavior, and inflation and propose a solution accordingly. The data from 89 countries are collected on various factors for the year 2020 and mediating analysis is selected to test the hypothesis through regression and correlation. They illustrate that there is a 46% correlation and 21% dependency between supply chain disruption and supply chain resilience through misinformation/fake news, panic buying behavior, supply chain disruption & inflation. The criterion validity of convergence validity and Cronbach of homogeneity test are applied. It has been found that panic buying behavior & supply chain disruption has a 71% strong correlation as compared to other factors and the reliability is 69% which is highly reliable and acceptable. In the end, it is concluded that strong coordination among countries will minimize global supply chain disruption through supply chain resilience for continuing supply chain activities and supply chain organizations & mass media organizations coordination with each other for minimizing misinformation/fake news, panic buying behavior supply chain disruption, and inflation factors to improve supply chain resilience by using artificial intelligence technology.

SPOTTER: Assessing supply disruption impacts along the supply chain within Life Cycle Sustainability Assessment

Purpose The US–China trade friction represents a major geopolitical shock that disrupts global trade flows, supply chains, and commodity markets. This study aims to provide new evidence on how US–China trade tensions (UCT) influence the realized volatility of agricultural commodity prices, with a focus on both futures and spot markets, and to examine the differential responses of these markets to geopolitical and supply chain shocks. Design/methodology/approach Using a dynamic multivariate analysis with data spanning from April 1998 to February 2024, which encompasses multiple trade cycles, including the 2018–2019 US–China trade war and the post-pandemic recovery, we uncover how geopolitical tensions transmit to commodity markets via the global disruption channel. Findings Our findings show that the futures market tends to exhibit stronger and more persistent volatility in response to trade tensions than spot markets, reflecting the forward-looking nature of futures trading and the role of speculation in amplifying uncertainty. Moreover, our robustness analysis confirms that the volatility response is more pronounced for certain commodities directly exposed to the US-China trade nexus. In contrast, globally traded soft commodities exhibit more muted reactions. Originality/value This study makes three key contributions. We (1) introduced the US-China trade tensions (UCT) as a novel source of geopolitical uncertainty in global agricultural commodity markets (2) employed the new indices of the US-China Tension Index and the Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI) to capture multidimensional global risks (3) applied the dynamic multivariate panel framework to assess how UCT shocks propagate through commodity spot and futures markets, influencing volatility and price dynamics.

Global trade disruptions pose significant challenges to the financial stability of the insurance sector, particularly in emerging markets like Ghana. This study examines the state of risk management practices within Ghana's insurance industry, exploring the extent to which firms adopt proactive strategies to mitigate risks associated with global trade uncertainties. Using a qualitative research design, data were collected from 10 insurance companies through semi-structured interviews, document analysis, and observations. The findings reveal that while most firms have formal risk management policies, many rely on periodic rather than continuous reviews, making them less agile in responding to global trade shocks. Currency fluctuations, supply chain disruptions, and regulatory changes emerged as the primary risks, with technology adoption and capacity building identified as critical for resilience. The study recommends the adoption of advanced risk management frameworks, enhanced regulatory compliance, and increased investment in technology to strengthen the sector’s resilience against global trade disruptions.

Supply chain risk management (SCRM) has become a critical and strategic component of organizational operations, particularly for manufacturing firms that aim to ensure operational continuity and deliver high-quality products to meet customer demands. Supply chain risks have become much more serious because of rising uncertainty, global disruptions, and structural complexity. This shows how important it is to have effective and evidence-based risk management solutions. The objective of this study is to systematically review and synthesize the existing literature on supply chain risk management, with a particular focus on risk identification, mitigation, and management strategies within manufacturing supply chains. This study adopts a systematic literature review methodology conducted in accordance with established review protocols. A structured search strategy was applied using relevant keywords and Boolean operators across major academic databases. Peer-reviewed journal articles published between 2011 and June 2025 were screened and analyzed to identify dominant themes, theoretical foundations, and practical approaches to SCRM. The findings indicate that supply chain risks are inherently dynamic and context-dependent, making contingency theory a particularly relevant theoretical lens for understanding and managing these risks. Additionally, to receive support, feedback, and training, companies are encouraged to join the Supply Chain Council and utilize the provided models. By obtaining this council membership, company managers can enhance organizational resilience by adopting appropriate risk management strategies.

Abstract—This study examines the global semiconductor supply chain disruptions triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic, particularly focusing on their impact on the automotive and electronics industries. The research highlights that these disruptions were exacerbated by systemic vulnerabilities such as just-in-time manufacturing, geopolitical tensions, and reliance on complex global interdependencies. Through case studies of companies like Tesla and Hyundai, the study demonstrates the critical role of adaptability and supply chain resilience in mitigating the effects of semiconductor shortages. Firms that diversified suppliers or employed technological innovations, like software adjustments, were better equipped to manage the crisis. Additionally, the study underscores the importance of international cooperation, government intervention, and technological advancements in forecasting and supply chain management to build more resilient systems. The research identifies significant gaps in understanding the long-term resilience of semiconductor supply chains, calling for sustainable, scalable solutions to manage future disruptions. Keywords— Semiconductor shortages, global supply chain disruptions, automotive and electronics industries, resilience, geopolitical tensions, technological innovation, government policy, circular economy principles, AI, and machine learning in supply chains.

Purpose This study aims to explore the interplay between supply chain collaboration and disruption and their joint impact on supply chain resilience. It also aims to identify the configurational conditions under which supply chain resilience is achieved, providing a holistic framework for enhancing supply chain management practices amidst disruptions. Design/methodology/approach This study uses a fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) to investigate the complex causal mechanisms linking supply chain collaboration and disruption with supply chain resilience. The research integrates three dimensions of collaboration with three dimensions of disruption, offering a comprehensive understanding of supply chain resilience factors. Findings This study reveals that supply chain resilience is not solely dependent on individual elements but is shaped by unique configurations of collaboration and disruption factors. Information sharing emerges as a core factor in high resilience, while the absence of supply and facility disruptions significantly influences resilience outcomes. The research highlights the importance of multiple paths leading to supply chain resilience and the asymmetrical impact of collaboration and disruption. Research limitations/implications The study acknowledges limitations due to data sourced exclusively from China and the use of static data, suggesting the need for cross-temporal and international samples to enhance broader applicability. Future research should consider dynamic temporal changes and diverse theoretical perspectives to comprehensively examine the factors influencing supply chain resilience. Practical implications The research underscores the critical role of information sharing in bolstering supply chain resilience and advises firms to prioritize it in their strategies. It also highlights the importance of mitigating supply and facility disruptions through supplier diversification and robust contingency planning, offering actionable insights for enhancing operational efficiency and risk management in supply chain management. Social implications This research has significant social implications, particularly in the context of global supply chain disruptions. By identifying key factors that enhance supply chain resilience, it can help businesses better prepare for and respond to crises, thereby reducing economic instability and social disruption. Improved resilience can lead to more stable employment, maintain the flow of essential goods and services and contribute to overall societal well-being during times of supply chain stress. Originality/value This study offers original insights by applying fsQCA to explore the multifaceted relationship between supply chain collaboration, disruption and resilience. Its value lies in revealing the complex causal configurations that lead to high or low levels of supply chain resilience, challenging traditional linear perspectives and providing a nuanced understanding that can guide both academic research and practical supply chain management strategies.

A multi-period discrete event simulation model for comparing synchronous and asynchronous facility reopening in global supply chains affected by disruption

The energy supply chain is a critical component of global infrastructure, connecting resource extraction, production, and distribution systems to meet the ever-growing demand for energy. However, global disruptions, including geopolitical conflicts, pandemics, and extreme weather events, have significantly impacted the stability and efficiency of energy supply chains. This study examines the effects of these disruptions through case studies and provides insights into strategies for enhancing resilience and adaptability in the energy sector. Key disruptions analyzed include the COVID-19 pandemic, which caused unprecedented logistical bottlenecks, and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which highlighted vulnerabilities in energy dependency and supply diversification. Additionally, climate-related events such as hurricanes and floods have strained infrastructure and disrupted operations. The study identifies recurring themes, such as the need for diversification of supply sources, investment in renewable energy, and the implementation of advanced digital technologies for risk management. A major focus is placed on the role of digital transformation in mitigating disruption impacts. Tools like blockchain, artificial intelligence (AI), and the Internet of Things (IoT) are shown to enhance real-time tracking, predictive maintenance, and decision-making. Policy frameworks and international collaboration also emerge as critical factors in addressing global disruptions, particularly for regions heavily reliant on energy imports. The findings highlight the importance of proactive strategies, such as building robust contingency plans, fostering regional cooperation, and accelerating the transition to renewable energy systems. Case studies of countries and companies that successfully navigated recent disruptions underscore the effectiveness of these approaches. Looking ahead, the study outlines a future outlook where energy supply chains leverage emerging technologies, prioritize sustainability, and integrate geopolitical risk assessments into operational planning. These measures will be essential for ensuring energy security and resilience in an increasingly uncertain global environment.

In an increasingly interconnected world, supply chain resilience has emerged as a critical factor for businesses to navigate disruptions and uncertainty. This paper delves into the dynamic landscape of supply chain management, emphasizing the need for organizations to adapt and fortify their operations against a myriad of challenges, ranging from natural disasters to geopolitical tensions and pandemics. Drawing on a comprehensive review of existing literature and real-world case studies, this research explores the key components of supply chain resilience and identifies best practices for building robust systems. It examines the role of technology, collaboration, and risk management strategies in enhancing resilience across various industry sectors. Furthermore, this paper sheds light on the impact of recent global disruptions, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, on supply chains worldwide, highlighting both the vulnerabilities exposed and innovative responses adopted by organizations. A nuanced analysis elucidates the lessons learned and opportunities for improvement in supply chain resilience frameworks. By synthesizing insights from academia and industry, this study offers practical recommendations for executives and policymakers to bolster supply chain resilience in an era characterized by volatility and complexity. It underscores the imperative for proactive measures, agile strategies, and continuous monitoring to mitigate risks and ensure operational continuity in the face of uncertainty. Ultimately, this research contributes to a deeper understanding of supply chain resilience as a strategic imperative, empowering organizations to thrive amidst global disruptions and safeguard the flow of goods and services in an interconnected global economy.

Global supply chain disruptions have become a persistent challenge for companies globally, caused by factors such as natural disasters, geopolitical conflicts, pandemic, trade wars, semiconductor shortages, and natural resource scarcities. These disruptive events have exposed the high vulnerability of tightly interconnected contemporary global supply chain networks, resulting in increased costs, delays, and operational uncertainties. This paper develops conceptual frameworks to analyze the nature and consequences of these disruptions and explores firms’ strategic responses. Drawing on interdisciplinary data from international business, economics, and supply chain management, this study identifies five key strategic directions for firms to effectively respond to global supply chain disruptions: diversification and regionalization of supply chains, integration of digital technologies and artificial intelligence, multi-layered risk management, leveraging institutional complexity, and fostering strategic partnerships. These strategies aim to enhance firms’ resilience, adaptability, and sustainability in an era where disruptions are the new normal. The analysis in this paper may provide helpful insights for managers and scholars seeking to elaborate effective supply chain management strategies under today’s volatile global environment.

International conflicts cause global energy price fluctuations and supply disruptions, which can threaten energy security and economic growth in energy-importing countries, including China. However, the implications and impact mechanisms of international conflicts on the energy security and economy of oil-importing countries have been poorly explored. Using US economic sanctions on Iran as a case, a global energy-extended computable general equilibrium model, GTAP-E, is employed to assess the impacts of international conflicts on China’s energy production, trade and supply, sectoral outputs, and economic growth. The results indicate that the USA–Iran tension would threaten China’s energy security, mainly due to the instability of the energy supply and the consequent upsurge of energy prices. However, if increased oil exports from other Persian Gulf countries compensate for the global oil supply shortages, China’s energy supply would be generally assured. Moreover, because of the close energy cooperation links between Iran and China, the sanctions could decrease the Chinese outputs of non-energy sectors and economic growth. Nevertheless, compared with sole-sanction situations, the results from a possible USA–Iran tension escalation, going as far as Iran’s closure of the Hormuz Strait, could pose a more serious risk to China’s energy security and economic growth.

This study presents a robust forecasting model for global supply chain disruptions: port delays, natural disasters, geopolitical events, and pandemics. An integrated solution combining the help of transformer-based models for unstructured textual data preprocessing and ARIMA for structured time series analysis is referred to as a hybrid model. This model combines the insights from both approaches using a feature fusion mechanism. It evaluated the Hybrid Model using accuracy, precision, recall, and finally, F1 score, and it was found to perform much better, generally obtaining an overall accuracy of 94.2% and an overall weighted F1 score of 94.3%. Specifically, class-specific analysis demonstrated high precision in identifying disruptions such as pandemics (95.5%) and natural disasters (94.6%), showing the ability of a model to understand context and time. The proposed approach outperforms classic stand-alone statistical and deep learning models regarding scalability and adaptivity to real-life applications such as risk management and policy making. Future work could include making the weights for each cluster dynamic to optimize weights based on real-time trends and improving accuracy and resilience.