Abstract

Abstract. The studydeals with determining the status of central banks and their formal independence in the context of the index approach. The authors argue that there is an inverse relationship between inflation and the level of independence of central banks. It turned out that the expansion of powers of the central bank based on the GMT-index shows a lower level of independence. The authors conducted a quantitative study of the elements of the index of independence of central banks. The peculiarities of formulating the central bank's mandate, procedures for agreeing goals, appointing management and duration of its stay in an office, ability to choose and apply monetary instruments, procedures for covering operating costs of the central bank and transferring profits to the budget, correct interpretation of legislation are identified. The problems of the index approach are the interpretation of the central bank's mandate, the density of the relationship between indices and inflation rates, as well as the quantification of legislation. To eliminate the shortcomings of the basic index approach, alternative approaches are proposed, in particular, the index of constitutional independence, the TOR index and the index of political vulnerability of the management. Extrapolating the index approach for developed countries does not always work when the sampling expands to include emerging market countries. Particularlyin countries with weak institutions, the de facto independence of the central bank does not always correspond to the formal one. For example, in Ukraine, asserting the consistency of the relationship between the inflation rate and the level of formal independence is quite complicated. Particular attention is paid to the problem of opposition to the political and economic independence of the central bank. The originality of the article is due to the need to identify new challenges to the independence of monetary authorities due to macroeconomic and institutional factors that lead to imbalances between the status of central banks and the consolidation of monetary objectives (instruments) at the legislative level to achieve price stability. Keywords: central bank, economic independence, quality of institutes, GMT-index, political power. JEL Classification G21 Formulas: 0; fig.: 2; tabl.: 0; bibl.: 19.

Highlights

  • The accumulated negative empirical experience in combating inflation in developed economies during the 1970—1980s shows the theoretical and political need for academic substantiation of the independence status of central banks and the consolidation of responsibility for price stability in their mandate [1,2,3,4,5]

  • Since macroeconomic policy is conducted in a political environment, it is important to clarify the relationship between this environment and the design of macroeconomic policy institutions

  • The level of central bank independence is neutral in terms of GDP growth

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Summary

Introduction

The accumulated negative empirical experience in combating inflation in developed economies during the 1970—1980s shows the theoretical and political need for academic substantiation of the independence status of central banks and the consolidation of responsibility for price stability in their mandate [1,2,3,4,5]. At the same time, when the US Federal Reserve proceeded from the post-military mentality of cooperation with the Ministry of Finance, an agreement was concluded between them on granting the Fed the right of operational autonomy in decision-making This is an example of understanding the relationship between central bank independence and the status structure factor, the assertion of its mandate, which is an extremely important determinant of operating processes. Developing this assumption, Alesina and Summers [8] were one of the first researchers of this problem, as well as Grilli et al [7]. The construction of this index is to determine the elements of central bank independence and their potential impact on inflation (Fig. 1)

Inflation rate
Low inflation
Conclusions
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