In-hospital outcomes and cost-effectiveness of transcatheter aortic valve replacement among younger patients: a double/debiased machine learning approach using electronic health records in Germany.

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Abstract
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The prevalence of severe symptomatic aortic stenosis is increasing with population aging. Although surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) has traditionally been the standard treatment, transfemoral transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TF-TAVR) is increasingly used. The optimal treatment for patients aged 60-75 remains debated. This retrospective cohort study analyzed 28,805 German patients who underwent isolated SAVR or TF-TAVR (2018-2022). We applied double/debiased machine learning estimators that combined adaptive lasso variable selection with propensity score-based weighting across 21 baseline characteristics. Cost-effectiveness was assessed via incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) and cost-effectiveness acceptability curves from in-hospital and 1-year perspectives. Compared with SAVR, TF-TAVR was associated with a significant reduction in in-hospital mortality (causal risk ratio [RR] 0.65; p = 0.012), along with lower rates of bleeding (RR 0.29; p < 0.001), postoperative delirium (RR 0.32; p < 0.001), and mechanical ventilation > 48h (RR 0.39; p < 0.001). No significant difference was observed in acute kidney injury rates (RR 0.89; p = 0.150). However, reimbursement was substantially higher for TF-TAVR (€7071 more per case, p < 0.001). A hypothetical shift from SAVR to TF-TAVR was associated with an ICER of €857,413 (95% CI €472,195-€4,310,651) from the in-hospital perspective and €196,422 (95% CI €123,873-€457,813) from the 1-year perspective. Notably, unadjusted analyses indicated a narrowing cost gap over time: Reimbursement for TF-TAVR decreased by approximately 12% between 2018 and 2022, while SAVR costs remained stable. Consequently, TF-TAVR is becoming increasingly cost-effective. Given an estimated life expectancy of 11 to 25years in this population, the incremental costs per life saved associated with a hypothetical shift from SAVR to TF-TAVR appear justifiable. Nonetheless, individual patient circumstances must always be considered in decision-making.

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1-Year Outcomes After Transfemoral Transcatheter or Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement: Results From the Italian OBSERVANT Study
  • Aug 1, 2015
  • Journal of the American College of Cardiology
  • Corrado Tamburino + 11 more

1-Year Outcomes After Transfemoral Transcatheter or Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement: Results From the Italian OBSERVANT Study

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The Odyssey of TAVR from concept to clinical reality.
  • Apr 1, 2014
  • Texas Heart Institute journal
  • Alain G Cribier

On 16 April 2002, my colleagues and I performed, in an inoperable and desperately ill man with critical calcific aortic stenosis (AS), the first clinical percutaneous implantation of an aortic valve bioprosthesis. As of 2013, more than 80,000 patients have been treated; and transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR), so strongly criticized by all the experts throughout the early years, continues to grow in parallel with its constant technological improvements. Transcatheter aortic valve replacement can now be recognized as a medical breakthrough. It is a revolutionary technology that meets an unfulfilled clinical need for a common disease, is validated by rigorous evidence-based studies, and is applicable worldwide. We report here the main phases of this 20-year odyssey and briefly consider the prospects of TAVR, which remains in continuous development.

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Comment on “1-year outcomes after transfemoral transcatheter or surgical aortic valve replacement. Results from the Italian OBSERVANT study”
  • Nov 1, 2015
  • Revista Portuguesa de Cardiologia (English Edition)
  • Lino Patrício

Comment on “1-year outcomes after transfemoral transcatheter or surgical aortic valve replacement. Results from the Italian OBSERVANT study”

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Commentary: An all-access pass to transcatheter aortic valve replacement
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Commentary: An all-access pass to transcatheter aortic valve replacement

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Decreasing Prices but Increasing Demand for Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement.
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Decreasing Prices but Increasing Demand for Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement.

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Comparison of Outcomes and Discharge Location After Transcatheter vs. Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement With Prior Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting
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Comparison of Outcomes and Discharge Location After Transcatheter vs. Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement With Prior Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting

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In-hospital mortality in propensity-score matched low-risk patients undergoing routine isolated surgical or transfemoral transcatheter aortic valve replacement in 2014 in Germany.
  • Mar 10, 2017
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  • Christian Frerker + 7 more

Recent randomized trials have documented the superiority of TAVR-particularly via transfemoral access-over SAVR in patients with severe aortic stenosis considered to have a high or intermediate operative risk of death. We sought to assess in-hospital outcomes of patients with severe aortic stenosis and a low risk of operative mortality undergoing routine surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) or transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). We performed a propensity-score matched comparison of all patients undergoing first-time treatment by SAVR or transfemoral TAVR (TF-TAVR) in 2014 in Germany who had a logistic EuroSCORE (logES) ≤ 10%, considered to reflect low surgical risk. The primary endpoint of our analysis was in-hospital mortality. Of 7624 SAVR and 9969 TF-TAVR procedures, 6844 (89.8%) and 2751 patients (27.6%), respectively, were considered low risk with a logES between 1.505 and 10.0%. Matching yielded 805 TF-TAVR/SAVR patient pairs with identical propensity scores and no difference in pertinent baseline characteristics, except for the logES, which was significantly higher in TF-TAVR patients (6.8 ± 1.7 vs. 4.2 ± 1.3% in SAVR patients, P < 0.001). Observed in-hospital mortalities were 1.7% (95% confidence interval, 1.1-3.0%) in SAVR and 2.0% (1.3-3.3%) in TF-TAVR patients (P = 0.85). Our finding of no difference in in-hospital mortality in propensity-score matched low-surgical-risk patients treated by SAVR or TF-TAVR in a routine clinical setting indicates that TF-TAVR can be offered safely to individual patients, despite their operative risk being low. This finding needs to be confirmed in a randomized trial.

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Temporal Changes in Mortality After Transcatheter and Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement: Retrospective Analysis of US Medicare Patients (2012–2019)
  • Sep 28, 2021
  • Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease
  • Sandra B Lauck + 10 more

BackgroundThe treatment of aortic stenosis is evolving rapidly. Pace of change in the care of patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) and surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) differs. We sought to determine differences in temporal changes in 30‐day mortality, 30‐day readmission, and length of stay after TAVR and SAVR.Methods and ResultsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients treated in the United States between 2012 and 2019 using data from the Medicare Data Set Analytic File 100% Fee for Service database. We included consecutive patients enrolled in Medicare Parts A and B and aged ≥65 years who had SAVR or transfemoral TAVR. We defined 3 study cohorts, including all SAVR, isolated SAVR (without concomitant procedures), and elective isolated SAVR and TAVR. The primary end point was 30‐day mortality; secondary end points were 30‐day readmission and length of stay. Statistical models controlled for patient demographics, frailty measured by the Hospital Frailty Risk Score, and comorbidities measured by the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (ECI). Cox proportional hazard models were developed with TAVR versus SAVR as the main covariates with a 2‐way interaction term with index year. We repeated these analyses restricted to full aortic valve replacement hospitals offering both SAVR and TAVR. The main study cohort included 245 269 patients with SAVR and 188 580 patients with TAVR, with mean±SD ages 74.3±6.0 years and 80.7±6.9 years, respectively, and 36.5% and 46.2% female patients, respectively. Patients with TAVR had higher ECI scores (6.4±3.6 versus 4.4±3) and were more frail (55.4% versus 33.5%). Total aortic valve replacement volumes increased 61% during the 7‐year span; TAVR volumes surpassed SAVR in 2017. The magnitude of mortality benefit associated with TAVR increased until 2016 in the main cohort (2012: hazard ratio [HR], 0.76 [95% CI, 0.67–0.86]; 2016: HR, 0.39 [95% CI, 0.36–0.43]); although TAVR continued to have lower mortality rates from 2017 to 2019, the magnitude of benefit over SAVR was attenuated. A similar pattern was seen with readmission, with a lower risk of readmission from 2012 to 2016 for patients with TAVR (2012: HR, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.63–0.73]; 2016: HR, 0.43 [95% CI, 0.41–0.45]) followed by a lesser difference from 2017 to 2019. Year over year, TAVR was associated with increasingly shorter lengths of stay compared with SAVR (2012: HR, 1.91 [95% CI, 1.84–1.98]; 2019: HR, 5.34 [95% CI, 5.22–5.45]). These results were consistent in full aortic valve replacement hospitals.ConclusionsThe rate of improvement in TAVR outpaced SAVR until 2016, with the recent presence of U‐shaped phenomena suggesting a narrowing gap between outcomes. Future longitudinal research is needed to determine the long‐term implications of lowering risk profiles across treatment options to guide case selection and clinical care.

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  • Jan 9, 2018
  • Catheterization and cardiovascular interventions : official journal of the Society for Cardiac Angiography & Interventions
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  • 10.1002/ccd.26945
Early readmissions after transcatheter and surgical aortic valve replacement.
  • Mar 2, 2017
  • Catheterization and Cardiovascular Interventions
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We aimed to determine and compare the prevalence, and predictors of readmissions after the transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) and surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR). There are limited data on the readmission rates after TAVR in comparison with SAVR. We analyzed the data from 2013 National Readmission Database. Propensity-matched pairs were used to analyze differences in readmission rates between TAVR and SAVR for patients aged ≥65. A total of 24,020 (TAVR-transfemoral 3,469, TAVR-transapical 1,433, SAVR 19,118) patients were included. The readmission rates were not statistically different for all propensity-matched TAVR and SAVR patients (17.2% vs. 20.6%, P = 0.28). However, in subgroup analysis, transapical TAVR had the highest readmission rate (22.8% vs. 16.5% vs. 16.0%, P < 0.001, respectively) and readmission leading to death (7.1% vs. 5.3% vs. 3.9%, P = 0.022, respectively) when compared with transfemoral TAVR and SAVR. In all the groups, two-thirds of readmissions were due to noncardiac causes. Congestive heart failure (CHF) and arrhythmia were the most frequent cardiac etiologies. The independent predictors of readmission were female sex, CHF, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Patients who received care in teaching hospitals had lower probability of readmission. One of six patients were readmitted within 30 days after the aortic valve replacement. On propensity score analysis, there were no significant differences between the early readmission rates between TAVR and SAVR groups. However, the patients undergoing transapical TAVR were at higher risk for readmission, and subsequent deaths when compared with transfemoral TAVR and SAVR. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

  • Abstract
  • 10.1016/j.cjca.2015.07.256
IMPACT OF COMPLICATION COST ASSUMPTIONS ON THE REAL-WORLD COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF TRANSCATHETER AORTIC VALVE REPLACEMENT IN THE UNITED STATES
  • Oct 1, 2015
  • Canadian Journal of Cardiology
  • B.J Potter + 6 more

IMPACT OF COMPLICATION COST ASSUMPTIONS ON THE REAL-WORLD COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF TRANSCATHETER AORTIC VALVE REPLACEMENT IN THE UNITED STATES

  • Discussion
  • 10.1016/j.athoracsur.2016.02.049
Invited Commentary
  • Jul 20, 2016
  • The Annals of Thoracic Surgery
  • Tom C Nguyen + 1 more

Invited Commentary

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  • Cite Count Icon 33
  • 10.1161/circulationaha.122.062481
Economic Outcomes of Transcatheter Versus Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement in Patients with Severe Aortic Stenosis and Low Surgical Risk: Results from the PARTNER 3 Trial.
  • May 8, 2023
  • Circulation
  • Benjamin Z Galper + 15 more

In patients with severe symptomatic aortic stenosis at low surgical risk, transfemoral transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) with the SAPIEN 3 valve has been shown to reduce the composite of death, stroke, or rehospitalization at 2-year follow-up compared with surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR). Whether TAVR is cost-effective compared with SAVR for low-risk patients remains uncertain. Between 2016 and 2017, 1000 low-risk patients with aortic stenosis were randomly assigned to TAVR with the SAPIEN 3 valve or SAVR in the PARTNER 3 trial (Placement of Aortic Transcatheter Valves). Of these patients, 929 underwent valve replacement, were enrolled in the United States, and were included in the economic substudy. Procedural costs were estimated using measured resource use. Other costs were determined by linkage with Medicare claims or by regression models when linkage was not feasible. Health utilities were estimated using the EuroQOL 5-item questionnaire. With the use of a Markov model informed by in-trial data, lifetime cost-effectiveness from the perspective of the US health care system was estimated in terms of cost per quality-adjusted life-year gained. Although procedural costs were nearly $19 000 higher with TAVR, total index hospitalization costs were only $591 more with TAVR compared with SAVR. Follow-up costs were lower with TAVR such that TAVR led to 2-year cost savings of $2030/patient compared with SAVR (95% CI, -$6222 to $1816) and a gain of 0.05 quality-adjusted life-years (95% CI, -0.003 to 0.102). In our base-case analysis, TAVR was projected to be an economically dominant strategy with a 95% probability that the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for TAVR would be <$50 000/quality-adjusted life-year gained (consistent with high economic value from a US health care perspective). These findings were sensitive to differences in long-term survival, however, such that a modest long-term survival advantage with SAVR would render SAVR cost-effective (although not cost saving) compared with TAVR. For patients with severe aortic stenosis and low surgical risk similar to those enrolled in the PARTNER 3 trial, transfemoral TAVR with the SAPIEN 3 valve is cost saving compared with SAVR at 2 years and is projected to be economically attractive in the long run as long as there are no substantial differences in late death between the 2 strategies. Long-term follow-up will be critical to ultimately determine the preferred treatment strategy for low-risk patients from both a clinical and economic perspective.

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  • Cite Count Icon 19
  • 10.1161/circimaging.113.000334
Computed Tomographic Imaging of Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement for Prediction and Prevention of Procedural Complications
  • Jul 1, 2013
  • Circulation: Cardiovascular Imaging
  • Jonathon Leipsic + 2 more

Senile calcific aortic stenosis (AS) is the most common acquired valvular heart disease with an increasing prevalence attributable to an aging population. Survival is poor in patients with severe or critical AS, chiefly after the onset of symptomology that primarily includes angina, dyspnea, or syncope. On the onset of symptoms, mortality occurs at very high rates during the ensuing 2 to 3 years.1 Until recently, surgical aortic valve replacement represented the sole therapy that definitive reduced mortality and morbidity in patients with severe symptomatic AS, with medical therapy generally ineffective of these patients. Given the advanced age commonly associated with severe AS, a high proportion of these patients are denied surgical intervention because of multiple comorbidities and excessively high surgical risk.2 Recently, transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) has emerged as a novel disruptive technology that serves an alternative therapy to surgical AVR and has been shown to be an effective therapy in nonoperable and high-risk patients with severe symptomatic AS.3,4 TAVR was first described in humans by Cribier et al in 20025 by a transvenous approach delivered in an antegrade fashion. This technique requires a transseptal puncture and passage of the aortic stent valve across the mitral valve to the aortic position. Subsequently, array of alternative transvascular approaches have arisen, including transfemoral, transaortic, trans-subclavian, and aortic methods. Of these, the retrograde transarterial approach through the femoral artery, developed by Webb et al,6 has been the commonly used approach, with >60 000 such procedures performed worldwide to date. To date, the global experience with TAVR as documented in both single and multicenter registries as well as through multicenter trials have shown good clinical outcomes with improvement in hemodynamic and clinical status, establishing TAVR to be a feasible alternative therapy to traditional surgical aortic valve …

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 27
  • 10.4244/eij-d-17-01051
In-hospital outcomes after transcatheter or surgical aortic valve replacement in younger patients less than 75 years old: a propensity-matched comparison
  • May 1, 2018
  • EuroIntervention
  • Holger Eggebrecht + 8 more

Randomised trials comparing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) with surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) have included mainly elderly patients >80 years. The authors investigated comparative in-hospital outcomes of younger patients <75 years undergoing transfemoral (TF) TAVR or isolated SAVR. A total of 6,972 patients aged 65-74 years undergoing TF-TAVR or SAVR between 2013 and 2014 were identified from the observational German Quality Assurance Registry on Aortic Valve Replacement (AQUA), which comprises all TAVR and SAVR procedures performed in Germany. Analyses were performed for the overall unmatched cohort as well as for 1,388 propensity-matched patients. Overall, 82.4% of patients <75 years needing treatment for aortic valve stenosis received SAVR. Patients undergoing TF-TAVR were older and had more comorbidities with higher predicted risk of death. After propensity-matching, in-hospital mortality (1.3% vs. 1.9%, p=0.39), neurologic complications (1.0% vs. 2.1%, p=0.09), and myocardial infarctions (0 vs. 0.3%, p=0.16) were not different after TF-TAVR or SAVR. Postoperative delirium was more frequent after SAVR (8.9% vs. 2.4%, p<0.001), whereas the need for new pacemaker was 4 times higher after TF-TAVR (13.3% vs. 3.5%, p<0.001). Younger patients <75 years undergoing TF-TAVR or SAVR had similar outcomes with the exception of more frequent need for new pacemaker implantation and less frequent incidence of post-operative dialysis and delirium in TF-TAVR patients. Whether these similar in-hospital outcomes are replicable in the longer-term events in TF-TAVR and SAVR remains to be proven in future studies.

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