Improved outcome prediction based on CSF extrapolated creatine kinase BB isoenzyme activity and other risk factors in severe head injury.

Abstract

The present study of 43 patients with severe head injury shows that outcome prediction can be markedly improved by combining an appropriate marker of the degree of initial brain damage and other risk factors. The patients were classified into three groups according to their actual outcome after 6 months: death (22 patients); persistent vegetative state or severe disability (eight patients); and moderate disability or good recovery (13 patients). By applying stepwise logistic discriminant analysis to the patients' data, five significant risk factors were selected: degree of neurological damage assessed by cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) extrapolated creatine kinase BB isoenzyme activity, Glasgow-Liège Coma Scale score, age, incidence of thoracic injury, and intracranial pressure (ICP). Extrapolated creatine kinase BB activity had the highest prognostic ability (67%). Uncontrollable elevated ICP proved to be systematically associated with death, whereas its absence was not necessarily indicative of a favorable outcome. The combination of the five variables yielded a total prognostic efficiency of 91%. The percentages of correctly predicted patients for the three outcome groups were, respectively, 100%, 50%, and 100%. Thus, half of the persistently vegetative and severely disabled patients were identified by the selected factors.