Abstract

By conducting long-range missile tests and raising new worries that it is pursuing nuclear weapons, Pyongyang has put the 1994 Agreed Framework in jeopardy. Seoul, Washington and Tokyo should not give into North Korean blackmail, but they could offer aid to Pyongyang on the condition that it defuse the missile and nuclear crises while also carrying out an ambitious conventional arms-control agreement patterned after the 1992 Conventional Armed Forces in Europe Treaty. Under one variant, both sides would make cuts of up to 50% in heavy weaponry. From a military standpoint, such an accord would be stabilising and desirable for combined US-South Korean forces.

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