Impact of Oil Prices on Islamic Stock Prices: Evidence from Pakistan using Bootstrap ARDL Approach

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This study aims to examine and analyze the effect of capital structure, firm size and profitability partially and simultaneously on Islamic stock prices. The object of research is a company listed on the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) for the 2015-2019 period. The research method uses quantitative methods with causal research design (causality). The research sample was 12 companies for 4 years of research so that the number of observations in this study was 48 observations. The analysis technique in this study uses the IBM SPSS For Windows program with multiple linear regression models. The results showed that capital structure had an insignificant negative effect on Islamic stock prices, firm size had a positive and significant effect on Islamic stock prices, and profitability had a positive and significant effect on Islamic stock prices, and together with capital structure, firm size, and profitability. significant effect on Islamic stock prices.

This paper examines the influence of Islamic stock price uncertainty on energy and gold commodity prices by using daily data from September 25, 2014 to March 12, 2021. We employ thе MGАRCH-M mоdеl with DCC and BEKK approaches tо assess interrelationship selected series. Based on empirical estimations, we achieved the following results. Firstly, empirical results from MGАRCH–M mоdеl estimations Islamic stock price uncertainty have а significаnt positive effect оn energy and gold commodities price. Secondly, non-causality tests results bared bi-directional variance transmissions of Islamic stock prices and the conditional variations of energy and gold commodities prices. Finally, for the pre-pandemic periods, results of the GIRF analaysis provided that the innovation shоcks оf Islamic stock price returns have а negative effects оn energy and gold price uncertainty. Indeed, for the response of ongoing pandemic periods shows Islamic stock price returns have а negative interact оn commodities price volatility, except energy stock price.

Knowledge about choosing the right sharia stock is knowledge that must be owned by every investor. This aims to be able to get benefits and also be able to minimize risks. Knowledge of economic conditions and financial performance in a particular company's shares is one of the benchmarks for determining investment decisions. This study aims to determine the partial effect of the exchange rate, gross domestic product (GDP), return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE) and debt to equity ratio (DER) on Islamic stock prices in infrastructure companies in Indonesia in the 2019- 2020. The population in this study are 35 infrastructure companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The sampling technique was carried out by purposive sampling technique and obtained 21 companies as research samples. The observation period is 12 quarters, namely in 2019-2021. So the unit of analysis obtained is 252 after the outliers become 215. The research variable consists of the dependent variable, namely the stock price (Y), the independent variable is the exchange rate (X1), gross domestic product (GDP) ) (X2), return on assets (ROA)(X3), return on equity (ROE)(X4), debt to equity ratio(DER)(X5). Based on the results of multiple linear regression analysis, it can be seen that the exchange rate, GDP, ROA, ROE and DER simultaneously have no effect on Islamic stock prices in infrastructure companies for the 2019-2021 period. Partially, the exchange rate variables, GDP and DER have a positive effect on Islamic stock prices in infrastructure companies for the 2019-2021 period, while the ROA and ROE variables have a negative effect on Islamic stock prices in infrastructure companies for the 2019-2021 period.

Market integration between conventional and Islamic stock prices

This article aims to analyze the influence of Earnings Per Share and Net Profit Margin on islamic stock prices in PT. Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur period 2015-2019. The issue is focused on discussing the impact of Earnings Per Share and Net Profit Margin on islamic stock prices. To approach this problem is used reference to signal theory. The data used is quarterly from March 2015 to December 2019. Research data was obtained from official sources, namely the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) and the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). The data analysis technique used was multiple linear regression. This review concluded that Earnings Per Share has a negative and significant influence on islamic stock prices, while Net Profit Margin has a positive and significant influence on islamic stock prices.

<p><em>The results showed that EPS has a significant positive effect on Islamic stock prices. Based on the value of t count greater than t table (3.556> 1.67591), and based on the value of the significance coefficient of 0.001 which is smaller than 0.05. Dividend Per Share (DPS) has a significant positive effect on Islamic stock prices. Based on the value of t count greater than t table (1.833> 1.67591), and based on the value of the significance coefficient of 0.033 which is smaller than 0.05. Return On Assets (ROA) has a significant positive effect on Islamic stock prices. Based on the value of t count greater than t table (2.833> 1.67591), and based on the value of the significance coefficient of 0.049 which is smaller than 0.05. Return On Equity (ROE) has no effect on Islamic stock prices. Based on the t count value is smaller than t table (0.612 <1.67591), and based on the significance coefficient value of 0.543 which is greater than 0.05.</em><em></em></p>

This paper aims to obtain empirical evidence about the influence of the Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) and Return on Equity (ROE) on Islamic stock prices, either partially or simultaneously. An exploratory investigation of 26 companies classified as sharia with the criteria of the Jakarta Islamic Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The secondary data analysis used is to collect complete financial data for the 2014-2018 period. The secondary data was successfully examined as many as 130, then processed using SPSS 26, then analyzed using regression. The findings of the investigation provide empirical evidence that the Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) and Return on Equity (ROE) have a positive and significant influence on Islamic stock prices, either partially or simultaneously. This study provides a theoretical contribution to limited research exploring the Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) and Return on Equity (ROE) with Islamic stock prices on the stock exchange in Indonesia. In practice, this research provides significant insights that can be used to measure the company's health and assess the company's ability to generate returns from shareholder investments of companies classified as sharia.

This study aims to examine the effect of inflation, exchange rate, BI Rate, and the amount of money in circulation on Islamic stocks in companies listed on the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). This study uses a sample of changes in the inflation rate, changes in the exchange rate, changes in the BI rate, changes in the money supply, and Islamic stock prices. This study uses secondary data, namely reports of changes in index obtained from the official website of the Indonesian Stock Exchange and the website of the Central Statistics Agency. With the results obtained in this study, inflation has a significant negative effect on Sharia Stock Prices, Exchange Rates have a significant negative effect on Sharia Stock Prices, amount of money in circulation has a significant positive effect on the price of Sharia shares. Inflation, Exchange Rate, BI Rate, and Money Supply have a simultaneous effect on Sharia Stock Prices in Companies Listed in the Jakarta Islamic Index. Managerial implications, especially for investment managers and fund managers in the Islamic capital market. Knowing the influence of inflation, exchange rates, BI interest rates, and money supply on Islamic stock prices allows managers to make better and more strategic investment decisions.

This study investigates how key macroeconomic variables influence the Islamic stock market in Indonesia through analysis of the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). The research examines the impact of interest rates, inflation, exchange rates, and global gold prices on Islamic stock price movements, using monthly time series data from 2017 to 2021. The study employs multiple linear regression analysis with classical assumption tests to analyze the relationships between these variables. The findings reveal that interest rates have a significant positive effect on Islamic stock prices, while exchange rates demonstrate a significant negative impact. Inflation shows a negative but insignificant influence, and global gold prices exhibit a negative but statistically insignificant effect on the Islamic stock index. The model explains 69.8% of the variance in Islamic stock prices, indicating the substantial role of macroeconomic factors in determining Islamic stock market performance. These results provide valuable insights for investors, policymakers, and market participants in understanding the dynamics of Islamic stock markets and their relationship with broader economic conditions. The study contributes to the growing literature on Islamic finance by demonstrating how Sharia-compliant investments respond to various macroeconomic factors, offering practical implications for investment strategies and market regulation.


 
 
 This research will focus on the impact of oil price shocks and macroeconomic variables on Islamic stock market in Malaysia. The objective of this research is to evaluate the relationship between oil price, macroeconomic indicators and Islamic stock market in Malaysia using an estimation of Vector Auto Regression (VAR) method. The variables involved in this research are Crude Oil Price (COP), Industrial Production Index (IPI), Consumer Production Index (CPI), Aggregate Money Supply (M3), Islamic Interbank Rate (IIR), Exchange Rate of Malaysian Ringgit-United States Dollar (MYR) and FTSE Bursa Malaysia Emas Shariah Index (FBMES). This research used monthly data from January 2007 to December 2011 taken from authorized sources. The findings showed that Islamic stock prices are co-integrated with oil price and selected macroeconomic variables. Based on cointegration relationship analysis, the Islamic stock price is related positively and significantly with IPI, CPI and COP variables but related inversely and significantly with M3, IIR and MYR variables. From the Granger causality view, only inflation variable Granger cause for Islamic stock return in Malaysia.
 
 

This study investigates the asymmetric impact of the Islamic stock market on clean energy prices and green economic development in the Asia-Pacific region using daily data from January 01, 2022, to May 31, 2024. Employing the Non-linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model, we examined both long-term and short-term relationships between these variables. Our findings reveal significant cointegration, indicating a stable long- term relationship. In the long term, Islamic stock prices positively influence the clean energy market and green economic development, suggesting that Islamic finance can effectively support sustainable initiatives and environmental goals in the region. However, minor negative variations were observed, with an insignificant negative effect on green economic development over extended periods. In the short term, Islamic stock prices also demonstrate a significant positive effect on clean energy and green economic growth, highlighting their role in fostering immediate advancements in sustainable economic activities. Despite this, there are minor negative impacts, indicating that fluctuations in Islamic stock prices may occasionally result in short-term setbacks for clean energy and green economic development. Overall, the findings underscore the crucial role of the Islamic stock market in promoting sustainable economic growth and environmental sustainability in the Asia-Pacific region. The presence of minor negative effects both in the long and short term suggests the need for careful monitoring and management of stock market fluctuations to mitigate any potential adverse impacts on sustainability efforts. This study adds to the existing body of knowledge by emphasizing the importance of considering the unique dynamics of Islamic finance in the context of sustainable economic development.

The Islamic finance industry in Indonesia has grown rapidly in the last decade, one of which is marked by the number of sharia stocks. Sharia stocks, based on the underlying principle, prohibit the involvement of investor sentiment which is often used as a consideration in investment decisions because there are elements of tadlees in it. This study examines the influence of investor sentiment on islamic stock prices index. This study aims to analyze whether Islamic stock price indices are influenced by investor sentiment. The representation of Islamic stock price indices are Indonesia Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) and Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). This study utilizes ARCH/GARCH analysis to determine whether there is an influence of investor sentiment on Islamic stock prices. The statistical tool used is e-views 12.0 program. The research findings stated that investor sentiment influences Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) but doesnt influence Indonesia Sharia Stock Index (ISSI). The difference in the results between the two Islamic stock indices can be explained by the different constituents and criteria for selecting Islamic stocks

Investing in the capital market, investors need accurate information, so they are not trapped in adverse conditions. One of the information that can be used by investors in assessing a company is financial statements. For investors, financial statements are useful for determining the best and profitable investment decisions. Based on the analysis of financial statements, investors can find out the comparison of the intrinsic value of the company's shares compared to the market price of the company's shares. To measure stock prices, it can be known from the influence of financial ratios on stock prices. Financial ratios are designed to show the relationship between financial statement estimates. This study aims to determine the effect of Return On Asset, Return On Equity ((ROE), and Price Earning to Ratio on Sharia Stock Prices based on Closing Prices in Companies listed on the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) for the 2020-2022 period. The research method is quantitative research, technical data analysis using descriptive statistics. The source of research data is secondary data in the form of financial statements and stock prices from companies listed on the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) for the 2020-2022 period using purposive sampling techniques. Secondary data processing using SPSS analysis technique version 23. Hypothesis testing in this study used multiple linear regression tests. Based on the results of the study shows that Return On Asset partially does not affect Islamic stock prices, Return On Equity partially has a positive and significant effect on Islamic stock prices, and Price Earning to Ratio partially does not affect Islamic stock prices. Return On Asset, Return On Equity, Price Earning to Ratio simultaneously have a positive and significant effect on Islamic stock prices in companies listed on the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) for the 2020-2022 period.

This paper attempts to analyze the relationship between Jakarta Stock Exchange Islamic Index (JII) and selected macroeconomic variables namely exchange rate, industrial production, inflation rate, and money supply. We used monthly data from January 2000 toDecember 2010.The methodology used in this paper is time series techniques of co-integration and vector autoregression (VAR). In the analysis, we rely on variance decompositions and impulse-response functions to capture the strength of interactions among variables. The results revealed that there is co-integration between Islamic stock prices and macroeconomic variables. Specifically, Indonesian Islamic stock market are driven more by domestic factors. These macroeconomic factors considered to be emphasized as the policy instruments by the governments in order to stabilize Islamic stock prices.