Abstract

Abstract Climate change is a challenge for people whose livelihoods depend on agricultural production. In particular, the agricultural production activities of people in Tuyen Hoa district, Quang Binh province, were affected by natural disasters. Therefore, it is imperative to assess the natural disaster situation in Tuyen Hoa district by examining farmers’ awareness of potential climate and impacts on the crop and livestock sectors. Data related to climate change were provided by the authorities of Tuyen Hoa district communes and then analyzed in combination with local people’s perceptions using Excel software (2019). Quantitative data collected from semi-structured interviews through 241 farmer household surveys in Tuyen Hoa district was processed using computer software called Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS 26) to calculate the potential impact index of natural disasters on agricultural production. Research results show that: (1) natural disasters (storms, tropical depressions, floods, droughts, Soil salinity) appear with high frequency, but landslides and flash floods have low frequency; (2) the risk of natural disasters impacting crop production is greater than livestock farming. Among them, storms, tropical depressions, floods, and droughts have a high impact. Landslides and flash floods have a low impact. (3) Communes located in the southeast of Tuyen Hoa district have a greater risk of natural disaster impacts than the remaining communes. This result will help local managers make appropriate adaptation measures for climate change and natural disasters locally.

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