Impact of household size and structure on carbon emissions in China

As the proportion of household carbon emissions to global carbon emissions continues to increase, reducing carbon emissions from household consumption has become an important way to achieve the goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. How the trend of miniaturization of household size will affect household carbon emissions is a matter of concern. This paper uses a sample of 9,090 households from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) database in 2018 to empirically study the impact of changes in household size on household carbon emissions, from the perspective of household consumption structure and urban-rural areas. The research results indicate that the miniaturization of household size will increase household carbon emissions, the impact of household size on indirect HCEs is greater than on direct HCEs. The impact of household size on indirect HCEs is heterogeneous in consumption structure and the impact of household size on indirect HCEs from housing, transportation is greater than that of other consumption items. The impact of household size on urban household carbon emissions is greater than that in rural areas. The upgrading of household consumption structure and the miniaturization of household size promote the increase of HCEs jointly. Therefore, this paper proposes that under the trend of household miniaturization, energy-saving and emission reduction policies should focus on reducing indirect households carbon emissions, optimizing household structure and household consumption structure, enhancing environmental awareness among family members, establishing and improving the green consumption system, and building environment-friendly households.

This study analyzed the spatiotemporal differences and driving factors of carbon emission in China’s prefecture-level cities for the period 2003–2019. In doing so, we investigated the spatiotemporal differences of carbon emission using spatial correlation analysis, standard deviation ellipse, and Dagum Gini coefficient and identified the main drivers using the geographical detector model. The results demonstrated that 1) on the whole, carbon emission between 2003 and 2019 was still high, with an average of 100.97 Mt. Temporally, carbon emission in national China increased by 12% and the western region enjoyed the fastest growth rate (15.50%), followed by the central (14.20%) and eastern region (12.17%), while the northeastern region was the slowest (11.10%). Spatially, the carbon emission was characterized by a spatial distribution of “higher in the east and lower in the midwest,” spreading along the “northeast–southwest” direction. 2) The carbon emission portrayed a strong positive spatial correlation with an imbalance polarization trend of “east-hot and west-cold”. 3) The overall differences of carbon emission appeared in a slow downward trend during the study period, and the interregional difference was the largest contributor. 4) Transportation infrastructure, economic development level, informatization level, population density, and trade openness were the dominant determinants affecting carbon emission, while the impacts significantly varied by region. In addition, interactions between any two factors exerted greater influence on carbon emission than any one alone. The findings from this study provide novel insights into the spatiotemporal differences of carbon emission in urban China, revealing the potential driving factors, and thus differentiated and targeted policies should be formulated to curb climate change.

With accelerating urbanization, building sector has been becoming more important source of China’s total carbon emission. In this paper, we try to calculate the life-cycle carbon emission, analyze influencing factors of carbon emission, and assess the delinking index of carbon emission in China’s building sector. The results show: (i) Total carbon emission in China’s building industry increase from 984.69 million tons of CO2 in 2005 to 3753.98 million tons of CO2 in 2013. The average annual growth rate is 18.21% per year. Indirect carbon emission from building material consumption accounted to 96–99% of total carbon emission. (ii) The indirect emission intensity effect was leading contributor to change of carbon emission. The following was economic output effects, which always contributed to increase in carbon emission. Energy intensity effect and energy structure effect took negligible role to offset carbon emission. (iii) Delinking index show the status between carbon emission and economic output in China’s building industry during 2005–2006 and 2007–2008 was weak decoupling; during 2006–2007 and during 2008–2010 was expansive decoupling; and during 2010–2013 was expansive negative decoupling.

Economic development has largely contributed to the increment of CO2 emission. This study uses spatial econometric models to investigate the relationship between economic growth and carbon emission in China with data of 30 provinces of China during the period of 2000 to 2012. Results show that the relationship between carbon emission and economic growth in China during the recent decade has the development tendency toward an inverse U-shaped curve, approximately confirming the carbon emission’s Kuznets curve hypothesis in China. There exists a significant spatial correlation between carbon emission and economic growth, implying that carbon emission in a province may be influenced by economic growth in adjacent provinces. When economic growth reaches 279.91 million Yuan/km2 GDP (at a comparable price in 2000), the contradiction between economic growth and carbon emission begins to be gradually alleviated. These findings provide new insights and valuable information for reducing carbon emissions in China.

Based on the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC), this paper empirically analyzes the impact of green finance development on industrial carbon emissions in China by using the panel data of Chinese mainland province. It is found that the development of green finance has significantly suppressed the industrial carbon emissions in China. Heterogeneity test shows that the inhibition effect on carbon emission in central China is the most obvious, and the inhibition effect on carbon emission in eastern and western regions decreases in turn. Technological progress significantly inhibits carbon emissions, especially in central China, followed by the western region and finally the eastern region. It is suggested to improve the green and low-carbon financing system, support the optimization of energy consumption structure and guide substantive technological progress, so as to promote the realization of carbon emission reduction targets.

Humans have altered the earth in unprecedented ways, and these changes have profound implications for global climate change. However, the impacts of human pressures on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions over long time scales have not yet been clarified. Here, we used the human footprint index (HF), which estimates the ecological footprint of humans in a given location, to explore the impacts of human pressures on CO2 emissions in China from 2000 to 2017. Human pressures (+13.6%) and CO2 emissions (+198.3%) in China are still on the rise during 2000–2017 and are unevenly distributed spatially. There was a significant positive correlation between human pressures and CO2 emissions in China, and northern China is the main driver of this correlation. The increase of CO2 emissions in China slowed down after 2011. Although human pressures on the environment are increasing, high-quality development measures have already had noticeable effects on CO2 emission reductions.

Transportation is an important source of carbon emissions in China. Reduction in carbon emissions in the transportation sector plays a key role in the success of China’s energy conservation and emissions reduction. This paper, for the first time, analyzes the drivers of carbon emissions in China’s transportation sector from 2000 to 2015 using the Generalized Divisia Index Method (GDIM). Based on this analysis, we use the improved Tapio model to estimate the decoupling elasticity between the development of China’s transportation industry and carbon emissions. The results show that: (1) the added value of transportation, energy consumption and per capita carbon emissions in transportation have always been major contributors to China’s carbon emissions from transportation. Energy carbon emission intensity is a key factor in reducing carbon emissions in transportation. The carbon intensity of the added value and the energy intensity have a continuous effect on carbon emissions in transportation; (2) compared with the increasing factors, the decreasing factors have a limited effect on inhibiting the increase in carbon emissions in China’s transportation industry; (3) compared with the total carbon emissions decoupling state, the per capita decoupling state can more accurately reflect the relationship between transportation and carbon emissions in China. The state of decoupling between the development of the transportation industry and carbon emissions in China is relatively poor, with a worsening trend after a short period of improvement; (4) the decoupling of transportation and carbon emissions has made energy-saving elasticity more important than the per capita emissions reduction elasticity effect. Based on the conclusions of this study, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions for reducing carbon emissions in the transportation industry.

The changes in the carbon emissions in China's provincial construction industries are of high complexity. It is essential to understand the changes in the construction carbon emissions (CCEs) in China on the provincial scale. This study evaluates the factors and structural paths of the changes in provincial CCEs in China between 2012 and 2017 using the structural path decomposition analysis. The results show that the emission intensity effect and production structure effect contributed greatly to the reduction of CCEs across various regions, while the final demand effect had contrary impacts. The local nonmetallic mineral products industry (c13), metal smelting and pressing industry (c14), and electricity industry (c24) generally contributed significantly to the emission intensity effect, production structure effect, and final demand effect across most regions. The consumption of local c13, c14, and c24 by the construction industry (c27), namely “local c13→c27”, “local c14→c27”, and “local c24→c27” were generally the important structural paths of the CCEs changes across various regions. Nonlocal industries such as Hebei c14 and nonlocal structural paths such as “Hebei c14→c27” contributed substantially to the CCEs changes in many regions such as Beijing. The emission intensity effect, first-order production structure effect, and final demand effect typically dominated the effects of the critical structural paths of the CCEs changes across various regions. This study can help policymakers better understand the changes in China's provincial CCEs to formulate region-specific emission reduction measures and provide a comprehensive reference for related research.

China’s economy has developed rapidly since the reform and opening up, but under the long-term traditional extensive development model, energy consumption is excessive and carbon emissions rank first in the world. Therefore, how to reduce carbon emissions is a current hot issue in China. Although many scholars have found that green finance is the basic driving force to promote carbon emission reduction, its role path is diverse, and it still needs to be explored in width and depth. Especially in the green transformation stage of the economy, the potential unemployment risk is also a matter of concern. This study selects 30 provincial panel data from the Chinese mainland for the 2004–2019 years to investigate the impact of green finance on carbon emissions from the perspective of unemployment using ordinary least square (OLS), generalized method of moments (GMM), and mediating effect models. In addition, in order to avoid the bias of regression results caused by the cross-section dependence of the data, the feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) and the panel-corrected standard errors (PCSE) models are used for the robust test after correction. The findings show that 1) green finance has a significant inhibitory impact on carbon emissions; 2) green finance has significantly reduced the unemployment rate; 3) carbon emissions increase significantly with increasing the unemployment rate; and 4) there is regional heterogeneity in the effect of green finance on carbon emissions in eastern, central, and western China. Green finance in the eastern and central regions significantly inhibits carbon emissions, especially in the central region, while insignificantly in the western region. 5) According to the OLS and mediating effect regression results, economic growth and environmental regulation play a significant positive role in promoting carbon emissions. This study has theoretical reference significance for accelerating the realization of the dual carbon goal and alleviating phased unemployment.

Reducing agricultural carbon emissions is key to promoting the sustainable development of agriculture. Carbon sources play a significant role in the carbon emissions of China’s planting industry. Researching the principles of evolutionary trends of carbon sources regarding carbon emissions in China’s planting industry helps formulate scientific policies to control such emissions in the industry. This paper adopted an emission factor approach from the IPCC to estimate the CO2 emissions of all kinds of carbon sources in China’s planting industry from 1997 to 2017. On the basis of the data, the principles of dynamic evolution in China’s planting industry and six carbon sources were analyzed by the kernel density estimation approach. Notably, the study discovered that carbon emissions peaked in 2015. In terms of the contributions of various carbon sources to the carbon emissions of the planting industry, sorted by chemical fertilizers, agricultural diesel oil, agricultural films, pesticides, agricultural irrigation, and seeding, their contribution rates were 60.82%, 13.95%, 12.88%, 9.83%, 1.88%, and 0.64%. At the same time, the kernel density results show that there was an increasing trend in carbon emissions across the whole of China’s planting industry and six kinds of carbon sources nationwide, with apparent “multipolarization”. From the perspective of various regions, the carbon emissions of chemical fertilizers, diesel oil, films, and pesticides in China’s planting industry had an evolutionary trend of multipolarization in central regions, while there was an evolutionary trend of monopolarization in eastern and western regions. The carbon emissions of seeding and irrigation had a similarly evolutionary trend in eastern, central, and western regions. Basically, they all had a double increase pattern in carbon emissions and regional differences. Therefore, China’s government needs a target to set up long-term mechanisms to ensure a stable and orderly reduction in carbon emissions in the planting industry, leading its development from the traditional planting industry to a climate-smart planting industry.

Based on the requirement of energy restructuring in China's "Dual Carbon" target, this study measures the carbon emissions of 30 provinces (autonomous region and municipality directly under the central government) in China from 1997 to 2019, the relationship between coal consumption and carbon emissions in China was investigated by using the methods of robust test, panel cointegration test, and Granger causality test; exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) is applied to analyze the spatial characteristics of energy consumption and carbon emissions in China. The results show that (i) there is a long-term two-way causal relationship between coal consumption and carbon emissions in China; (ii) both coal consumption and carbon emissions in China show spatial correlation, with obvious locational characteristics, and are relatively stable in the spatial pattern as a whole, with relatively small changes in the short term; (iii) both coal consumption and carbon emissions show significant positive correlation and positive spatial correlation, with an increase in coal consumption and an increase in carbon emissions. The local Moran's I can show that there are fewer areas that differ from the overall trend, with H-H agglomeration maintaining a stable contiguous trend, L-L agglomeration decreasing, and contiguous characteristics gradually disappearing.

This paper expanded the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) model through the introduction of urbanization, residents’ consumption, and other factors, and decomposed carbon emission changes in China into carbon emission factor effect, energy intensity effect, consumption inhibitory factor effect, urbanization effect, residents’ consumption effect, and population scale effect, and then explored contribution rates and action mechanisms of the above six factors on change in carbon emissions in China. Then, the effect of population structure change on carbon emission was analyzed by taking 2003–2012 as a sample period, and combining this with the panel data of 30 provinces in China. Results showed that in 2003–2012, total carbon emission increased by 4.2117 billion tons in China. The consumption inhibitory factor effect, urbanization effect, residents’ consumption effect, and population scale effect promoted the increase in carbon emissions, and their contribution ratios were 27.44%, 12.700%, 74.96%, and 5.90%, respectively. However, the influence of carbon emission factor effect (−2.54%) and energy intensity effect (−18.46%) on carbon emissions were negative. Population urbanization has become the main population factor which affects carbon emission in China. The “Eastern aggregation” phenomenon caused the population scale effect in the eastern area to be significantly higher than in the central and western regions, but the contribution rate of its energy intensity effect (−11.10 million tons) was significantly smaller than in the central (−21.61 million tons) and western regions (−13.29 million tons), and the carbon emission factor effect in the central area (−3.33 million tons) was significantly higher than that in the eastern (−2.00 million tons) and western regions (−1.08 million tons). During the sample period, the change in population age structure, population education structure, and population occupation structure relieved growth of carbon emissions in China, but the effects of change of population, urban and rural structure, regional economic level, and population size generated increases in carbon emissions. Finally, the change of population sex structure had no significant influence on changes in carbon emissions.

After the global financial crisis in 2008, China had increased domestic investment, stimulated economic growth and produced a large amount of carbon emission at the same time. The impact of investment on carbon emission and emission reduction target in China has become an important research subject. Based on the input-output model, this research estimated carbon emission of every sector caused by investment, and analyzed the relationship between investment and economy as well as carbon emission. Then whether some sectors are beneficial to carbon emission reduction or not and other relevant questions are evaluated. The results show that there are significant differences in the impact of investment on economic growth and carbon emission in different sectors.

How do energy consumption and environmental regulation affect carbon emissions in China? New evidence from a dynamic threshold panel model

The study analyzes the impact of income and household size on per capita food expenditure in Vietnam, thereby testing the food paradox. The data for the study was extracted from the dataset of the results of the Vietnam Living Standards Survey 2018 (VHLSS 2018). After the data was connected, filtered, and cleaned, 34,448 observations were qualified. To overcome endogenous difficulties in the model, the estimation of linear Engel equations using instrumental variable regression was conducted. The findings of the study reveal that as household size increases, average food expenditure reduces, supporting the food paradox that exists in the Vietnamese food market. The positive relationship between income per capita and average expenditure on food is also confirmed in the OLS model. Research shows that households with the head being married, educated, employed (especially self-employed) have a higher average expenditure on food than those in other household groups. The average food cost per household rises in households with a high number of children and the elderly. The findings of this study will assist food companies in forecasting market demand, allowing them to develop effective business strategies and production plans. It also aids policymakers in forecasting food demand so that proper national food security policies can be implemented.