Abstract
While the efficacies of the newly developed mRNA and vector vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 have been widely advertised, their harm-to-benefit ratio remains almost completely ignored, though reports of possible “side effects” (some of them lethal) keep piling up. The most severe of those adverse events is sudden death. Until now, to the best of our knowledge, in Germany at least reliable estimates of how many deaths may actually have been caused by SARS-CoV-2 vaccination are still missing. Here, we fill this void and provide such an estimate for Germany during the course of 2021. Thereto, the number of deaths reported by the Paul-Ehrlich-Institut to have occurred within the group of persons suspectedly affected by a vaccine-induced adverse event is scaled by the factor of under-reporting, based on health insurance reports, and finally corrected by known all-cause mortality. Our best estimate for the year 2021 is that 16,817 deaths were caused by SARS-CoV-2 vaccination within the short-term observation period of 50 days after the last injection of a vaccine. Taking independent autopsy reports into account, the estimate of 11,194 deaths is a lower bound. Our hope is that this report may serve as a pivot for further investigations of the questions addressed here.
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