Abstract

Study aims to conduct a synoptic and thermodynamic analysis of significant rainfall events that happened during the break monsoon season. During the investigation of meteorological events, it was observed that the monsoon trough at mean sea level passed along the foothills of the Himalaya. On August 31, 2023, there was a cyclonic circulation observed in the northeast Bay of Bengal as well as adjacent areas, reaching an altitude of 5.8 km above mean sea level (AMSL). This circulation tilted southwestward with height. During the period of August 31-September 2, 2023, there was a cyclonic circulation persistent that occurred inside a particular geographical area. This phenomenon extended up to a height of 4.5 km AMSL and exhibited a south-westward tilt as the altitude increased. On August 31, 2023, the Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) was measured to be 2153 J/kg, whereas the Convective Inhibition Energy (CINE) was recorded as 0 J/kg. INSAT-3D satellite image showed a cloud top temperature of – 40 °C to – 60 °C. The Doppler Weather Radar (DWR) pictures also showed convective clouds to support this phenomenon. The synoptic and thermodynamic indices indicate a high likelihood of significant precipitation occurring over Bengaluru and its surrounding regions.

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