Abstract

Hazard identification is the key step in risk assessment and management of manufactured nanomaterials (NM). However, the rapid commercialisation of nano-enabled products continues to out-pace the development of a prudent risk management mechanism that is widely accepted by the scientific community and enforced by regulators. However, a growing body of academic literature is developing promising quantitative methods. Two approaches have gained significant currency. Bayesian networks (BN) are a probabilistic, machine learning approach while the weight of evidence (WoE) statistical framework is based on expert elicitation. This comparative study investigates the efficacy of quantitative WoE and Bayesian methodologies in ranking the potential hazard of metal and metal-oxide NMs—TiO2, Ag, and ZnO. This research finds that hazard ranking is consistent for both risk assessment approaches. The BN and WoE models both utilize physico-chemical, toxicological, and study type data to infer the hazard potential. The BN exhibits more stability when the models are perturbed with new data. The BN has the significant advantage of self-learning with new data; however, this assumes all input data is equally valid. This research finds that a combination of WoE that would rank input data along with the BN is the optimal hazard assessment framework.

Highlights

  • Hazard identification is a primary step in the risk assessment of engineered nanomaterials (NM) [1,2]

  • This shows the marginal probability of each state within the nodes and their causal linkages resulting from an expert elicitation process as well as structure and parameter machine learning

  • The analysis indicates that hazard score produced by the weight of evidence (WoE) model is least sensitive to changes in the study quality weight parameters, and influenced most by changes to the index of toxicity

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Summary

Introduction

Hazard identification is a primary step in the risk assessment of engineered nanomaterials (NM) [1,2]. Four decades have passed since Norio Taniguchi first coined the term “nanotechnology” [3], and hazard assessment remains a continuous research effort to support the development and commercialization of nanomaterials [4]. The rapid commercialisation of nano-enabled products continues to out-pace the development of a prudent risk management mechanism that is accepted by the scientific community and enforced by regulators. The good news is that a growing body of academic literature is contributing to the development of increasingly accurate quantitative risk assessment methods, but a validated, replicable and transparent hazard identification tool remains elusive. This paper represents a valuable addition to this literature set as it seeks to identify suitable methodologies to contend with the complex nature of NM hazard identification

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