Hazard assessment and zoning of collapse along highways in China based on backward cloud algorithm

Abstract

Evaluation indices were proposed and rated based on statistical analysis of collapse by an improved backward cloud algorithm considering internal and trigger factors. The evaluation index weight was calculated by a G1 method. A hazard evaluation of a highway collapse in China was established on the basis of a spatial analysis function of ArcGIS 10.2 and a factor superposition method. A hazard zoning of highway collapse in China was also performed based on the hazard degree. Results show that a comprehensive hazard index of highway collapse hazard in China based on the evaluation index above ranges from 1.0 to 9.0; and the distribution law of the collapse along a highway coincides with the actual distribution of highway collapse hazard. The most dangerous zones are the mountainous area of Southeast Taiwan, the mountainous area of Southeast Fujian–Zhejiang, south of Hainan, Sichuan–Yunnan mountainous area, Tianshan Mountains and Kunlun Mountains. The results can provide a reference for highway collapse prevention and mitigation work.Abbreviations: AHP: Analytic Hierarchy Process; GIS: Geographic Information System