Has globalization shrunk manufacturing labor share in transition economies?

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to investigate the nexus between the labor share and globalization in transition economies, with a reference to the skill intensity. We put these developments in the context of the structural and reform developments in transition economies. We rely on the predictions of the efficient bargaining model, whereby globalization forces are set to affect workers’ market bargaining power, which then produces certain developments in the labor share. We use industry-level data for 23 transition economies of Central and Southeast Europe and the Commonwealth of Independent States over the late transition period of 2000–2015. Results robustly suggest that globalization forces played important role for the stagnant labor shares in transition economies, mainly in low-skill industries. Workers’ shares in high-skill industries largely remained intact. Results further suggest that the negative effect has been the strongest for the low-skilled workers in the early transition phase and then lessened or vanished as countries turned a higher development stage. The key finding advises that if governments of transition countries attempted to or undertook steps to seize globalization by offering ‘cheap labor’, then it has been the wrong strategy.