Abstract

Diabetes is a chronic disease characterized by high blood glucose level that results either from a deficiency of insulin produced by the body, or the body’s resistance to the effects of insulin. Accurate and precise reasoning and prediction models greatly help physicians to improve diagnosis, prognosis and treatment procedures of different diseases. Though numerous models have been proposed to solve issues of diagnosis and management of diabetes, they have the following drawbacks: (1) restricted one type of diabetes; (2) lack understandability and explanatory power of the techniques and decision; (3) limited either to prediction purpose or management over the structured contents; and (4) lack competence for dimensionality and vagueness of patient’s data. To overcome these issues, this paper proposes a novel hybrid rough set reasoning model (H2RM) that resolves problems of inaccurate prediction and management of type-1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) and type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). For verification of the proposed model, experimental data from fifty patients, acquired from a local hospital in semi-structured format, is used. First, the data is transformed into structured format and then used for mining prediction rules. Rough set theory (RST) based techniques and algorithms are used to mine the prediction rules. During the online execution phase of the model, these rules are used to predict T1DM and T2DM for new patients. Furthermore, the proposed model assists physicians to manage diabetes using knowledge extracted from online diabetes guidelines. Correlation-based trend analysis techniques are used to manage diabetic observations. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms the existing methods with 95.9% average and balanced accuracies.

Highlights

  • Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a chronic disease, which is characterized by hyperglycemia that results from absolute or relative deficiency of insulin

  • This study proposes a hybrid rough set reasoning model that uses experiential and domain knowledge to accurately predict diabetes types and analyze future trends for potential risks

  • The results show that the predication accuracy for class type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is higher than the prediction accuracy of class type-1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM)

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Summary

Introduction

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a chronic disease, which is characterized by hyperglycemia that results from absolute or relative deficiency of insulin. It has affected over 200 million individuals worldwide [1]. According to World Health Organization (WHO) report, back in 2004, the number of diabetic patients will increase to 366 million by 2030 [2]. A recent report of the International Diabetes. Federation has estimated this number up to 552 million by 2030 [3]. Diabetes was declared a global epidemic by World Health

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