Abstract

To explore how introduction of the lower WHO gestational diabetes (GDM) glucose criteria in Sweden affected prediabetes/type-2-diabetes (T2D) incidence two years postpartum. Women included in the PREvention of PostPartum (PREPP) diabetes study were diagnosed with GDM according to EASD 1991 criteria (GDMOLD; n = 93) or only WHO 2013 criteria (GDMWHO; n = 174). Both groups were further stratified by BMI, and BMI-matched normoglycemic pregnancy controls were included (n = 88). Postpartum assessments included oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTT) and anthropometric measurements. There was a higher postpartum incidence of T2D in GDMOLD versus GDMWHO (P < 0.001). Despite similar BMI, GDMOLD exhibited higher fasting and OGTT glucose levels, lower fat-free-mass, and hip circumference compared to GDMWHO. In normal-weight women, both GDM groups displayed higher HOMA-IR and lower fat-free-mass compared to controls, with GDMOLD additionally showing lower HOMA-β, slower insulin release during OGTT, and worse glucose tolerance than GDMWHO. Among obese women, the main differences were lower fat-free-mass and hip circumference in GDMOLD. The lower glucose cut-offs during pregnancy resulted in lower postpartum incidence of T2D, irrespective of BMI. Fat-free-mass emerged as a key determinant in glucose levels across BMI categories, while lower beta-cell function played a significant role in normal-weight women.

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