Global magnitude and temporal trend of infective endocarditis, 1990-2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study.

Abstract

To estimate the spatiotemporal patterns in infective endocarditis (IE) burden along with its attributable risk factors at the national, regional, and global levels, which is essential to optimize the targeted prevention, clinical practice, and research. Based on all available data sources, the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of IE in 204 countries and regions from 1990 to 2019 were reconstructed by Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 using the Cause of Death Ensemble model, spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression, and DisMod-MR 2.1. We depicted the epidemiological characteristics of IE in detail by gender, region, and age. Globally, 1 090 527 incident cases, 66 322 deaths, and 1 723 594 DALYs of IE were estimated in 2019. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) increased from 9.91 and 0.73 to 13.80 and 0.87 per 100 000 person-years over the past 30 years, respectively. ASIR were consistently more pronounced in higher socio-demographic index (SDI) regions. The leading ASMR in 2019 appeared in the High SDI region, with the largest increase in the past three decades. The age-specific burden rate of IE among people over 25 years old usually increased with age, and the annual increasing trend was more obvious for people over 60 years of age, especially in higher SDI regions. The incidence and mortality of IE have continued to rise in the past 30 years, especially in higher SDI regions. The patient population was gradually shifting from the young to the elderly.