Abstract

Buried pipelines, as the most common method of natural gas transportation, are prone to pipeline leakage accidents and are difficult to detect due to their harsh and concealed environment. This paper focused on the problem regarding the free dissipation of residual gas in buried gas pipelines and soil after closing the gas supply end valve after a period of leakage by numerical simulation. A multiple non-linear regression model was established based on the least squares method and multiple regression theory, and MATLAB 2016b mathematical calculation software was used to solve the problem. The research results indicated that compared to the gas leakage diffusion stage, the pressure and velocity distribution during the free dissipation stage were significantly reduced. The increase in leakage time, pipeline pressure, leakage size, and pipeline burial depth led to a large accumulation of natural gas, which increased the concentration and distribution range of gas on the same free dissipation stage monitoring line. A prediction model for natural gas concentration in the free dissipation stage was established with an average error of 7.88%. A calculation model for the safety repair time of buried gas pipeline leakage accidents was further derived to determine the safety repair time of leakage accidents.

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