Forest disturbance thresholds on summer low flows in the interior of British Columbia, Canada

Abstract

Summer low flows are critically important for community water supply and various aquatic functions in the interior of British Columbia (BC), Canada. There is a critical need to determine forest disturbance thresholds on summer low flows, particularly in the context of climate change and increasing forest disturbance. The forest disturbance threshold is defined as the disturbance level above which significant changes in flow variables are detected. In this study, we developed a seasonal hydrological response curve to determine forest disturbance thresholds for significant hydrological impacts on summer low flows in 20 forested watersheds in the BC interior. Based on the proposed method, the results suggest that forest disturbance thresholds varied from 8 to 52 % of CECA (cumulative equivalent clear-cut area) with an average of 18 %, which were not significantly different from thresholds on annual streamflow. Watersheds characterized by more distinct dry summers, lower annual energy availability, higher snow contributions, larger sizes, and greater topographic gradients (represented by greater slope, elevation difference, and downslope distance gradient, and lower water retention index) had lower disturbance thresholds on summer low flows. Both positive (increasing) and negative (decreasing) impacts of forest disturbance on summer low flows were detected. These results can greatly support practical watershed management for sustaining water supply in the local communities. Our methodology can potentially be applied in any individual watershed to assess forest disturbance thresholds on summer low flows where long-term data on forest disturbance, climate, and hydrology are available.