Abstract

This paper analyses a time series model, focussing on product-specific trade trends from 2011 to 2023. It employs the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), the Cuddy Dela Vale (CDV) index, and the Least Squares Method for trend and stability analysis. The study presents a micro-level time series analysis of product-specific trade trends, uncovering notable discrepancies at the product level often neglected in macro-level analyses. It discusses these variances and deviations, so enhancing the precision of trade policy formulation and allowing policymakers to tackle specific product-level trade dynamics effectively.

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