Abstract
The article substantiates the advisability of studying entrepreneurship at the regional level based on the concept of entrepreneurial ecosystems. The purpose of the study is to develop methodological approaches to forecasting the productivity of regional entrepreneurial ecosystems using econometric modeling tools. An adequate model is proposed for predicting the dynamics of the creation of new enterprises (the productivity of the regional entrepreneurial ecosystem), taking into account the state's influence on entrepreneurial activity. The results obtained can be used in the process of developing a strategy for the long-term development of entrepreneurship in the region.
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