Food Security in Developing Economies: An Empirical Analysis of Population Structure and Key Determinants

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Abstract
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Food insecurity poses a serious and ongoing threat to many developing countries, where rapid population growth has reshaped the landscape of food production and distribution. This study examines the non-linear analysis of urban and rural populations on food security. Besides these effects, it also explores the key determinants of food security, with a special focus on the role of trade openness, foreign direct investment, education, and institutional quality dynamics. The empirical results are estimated using the Panel Quantile Regression approach of 47 developing countries from 2002 to 2023. This approach reveals an inverted U-shaped relationship between both urban and rural populations on food security. The linearized marginal effect shows that the urban population is more vulnerable to food security compared to the rural population in developing countries. Moreover, education enhances food security, while foreign direct investment and trade openness cause food insecurity in developing countries. This study recommends that developing countries should promote sustainable urban development and strengthen rural agriculture systems.

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СОВРЕМЕННЫЕ ТЕНДЕНЦИИ ОБЩЕЙ ЗАБОЛЕВАЕМОСТИ ГОРОДСКОГО И СЕЛЬСКОГО НАСЕЛЕНИЯ СУБЪЕКТОВ АРКТИЧЕСКОЙ ЗОНЫ РОССИИ
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Significance. Over the past decades, the Arctic zone has become one of the most important regions in the country and in the world, the importance of preserving the health of its population in conditions of severe shortage of labor resources is defined in the “Strategy for Developing the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation and ensuring national security until 2035”. The purpose of the study is to analyze disease prevalence among urban and rural population in the constituent entities of the Russian Arctic zone in 2019 – 2023. Material and methods. The research used methods such as statistical, analytical, experience review and generalization. The research materials included Rosstat data, data of the Unified interdepartmental information and statistical system, collections of statistical indicators of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation. Results. Disease prevalence among urban population is characterized by an increase across all constituent entities of the Arctic zone, while among rural population there are multidirectional trends: a decrease by 7.8% - 25.7% in the constituent entities of the Arctic zone with the lowest population density – the Nenets Autonomous Okrug, the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug, the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), as well as the Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug. The minimum values of disease prevalence both among rural and urban population of the Arctic zone were registered in the Krasnoyarsk Territory, the maximum - among citizens of the Republic of Karelia for most classes of diseases, exceeding 1.3 – 3.0 times those in the country, among rural dwellers in the Nenets, Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrugs, the Komi Republic. The structure of disease prevalence among urban and rural population of the Arctic zone didn’t statistically significantly differ: organ diseases top the structure, followed by diseases of the circulatory system, while diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue rank third. In urban population in all constituent entities of the Arctic zone disease prevalence is statistically significantly higher than in rural population across all classes of diseases, with the exception of pregnancy, childbirth and postpartum period - the maximum differences were recorded in women in the Nenets and Chukotka Autonomous Okrugs - 5.6 and 4.3 times higher in rural females compared to their urban peers, respectively. Conclusion. Differentiation of indicators of disease prevalence among urban and rural population of the constituent entities of the Russian Arctic zone necessitates a further study of the health status of the Arctic population, factors affecting it, accessibility, organization and effectiveness of medical care to develop and implement effective health development programs in the Arctic zone in order to increase “long and active life” of its residents. Keywords: Arctic zone of the Russian Federation; disease prevalence; urban and rural population; Arctic regions

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