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Fairness-Aware Multimodal Machine Learning for Retail Stock Prediction from Sentiment and Market Data

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Background:The introduction of retail investors to AI-powered trading platforms and especially on emerging markets, has resulted in a new set of risks linked to algorithmic bias and financial forecasting fairness.Social media sentiment and structured data multimodal strategies have demonstrated a potential, but frequently do not have ethical considerations.Objective: This work proposes a multimodal model predictive control (MPC) framework grounded in fairness-based forecasting of next-day returns on stock in stock market settings, particularly ethical behaviour and transparency of the model on retail markets.Methods: We combine BERT-based sentiment analysis of Reddit discussions and organized stock market indicators and use XGBoost as the fundamental model.Bias is measured using fairness metrics, including demographic parity difference and equal opportunity difference.Debiasing measures such as reweighting and stratified calibration were used to curb the differences in stock categories. Results:The first model has an overall accuracy of 72.3 with the highest accuracy of 83.1 in the case of Tesla -representing bias in the model.Fairness assessment shows some significant differences (DPD=0.23,EOD=0.31),but the mitigation decreases to 0.07.However, the massive performance improvement after adjustment brings up the issue of overfitting or fairness overcorrection.Conclusion: While the proposed debiased framework successfully reduces algorithmic bias, the tradeoff between fairness and generalizability underscores the need for caution.These results hold significant implications for digital trading systems and regulatory frameworks of emerging economies such as India, where explainability and fairness of AI models are significant for ethical financial engagement.

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  • Cite Count Icon 1
  • 10.1108/jebde-10-2023-0024
Fairness evaluation of marketing algorithms: a framework for equity distribution
  • Sep 11, 2024
  • Journal of Electronic Business & Digital Economics
  • Mengxi Yang + 6 more

PurposeObjectively evaluating the fairness of the algorithm, exploring in specific scenarios combined with scenario characteristics and constructing the algorithm fairness evaluation index system in specific scenarios.Design/methodology/approachThis paper selects marketing scenarios, and in accordance with the idea of “theory construction-scene feature extraction-enterprise practice,” summarizes the definition and standard of fairness, combs the application link process of marketing algorithms and establishes the fairness evaluation index system of marketing equity allocation algorithms. Taking simulated marketing data as an example, the fairness performance of marketing algorithms in some feature areas is measured, and the effectiveness of the evaluation system proposed in this paper is verified.FindingsThe study reached the following conclusions: (1) Different fairness evaluation criteria have different emphases, and may produce different results. Therefore, different fairness definitions and standards should be selected in different fields according to the characteristics of the scene. (2) The fairness of the marketing equity distribution algorithm can be measured from three aspects: marketing coverage, marketing intensity and marketing frequency. Specifically, for the fairness of coverage, two standards of equal opportunity and different misjudgment rates are selected, and the standard of group fairness is selected for intensity and frequency. (3) For different characteristic fields, different degrees of fairness restrictions should be imposed, and the interpretation of their calculation results and the means of subsequent intervention should also be different according to the marketing objectives and industry characteristics.Research limitations/implicationsFirst of all, the fairness sensitivity of different feature fields is different, but this paper does not classify the importance of feature fields. In the future, we can build a classification table of sensitive attributes according to the importance of sensitive attributes to give different evaluation and protection priorities. Second, in this paper, only one set of marketing data simulation data is selected to measure the overall algorithm fairness, after which multiple sets of marketing campaigns can be measured and compared to reflect the long-term performance of marketing algorithm fairness. Third, this paper does not continue to explore interventions and measures to improve algorithmic fairness. Different feature fields should be subject to different degrees of fairness constraints, and therefore their subsequent interventions should be different, which needs to be continued to be explored in future research.Practical implicationsThis paper combines the specific features of marketing scenarios and selects appropriate fairness evaluation criteria to build an index system for fairness evaluation of marketing algorithms, which provides a reference for assessing and managing the fairness of marketing algorithms.Social implicationsAlgorithm governance and algorithmic fairness are very important issues in the era of artificial intelligence, and the construction of the algorithmic fairness evaluation index system in marketing scenarios in this paper lays a safe foundation for the application of AI algorithms and technologies in marketing scenarios, provides tools and means of algorithm governance and empowers the promotion of safe, efficient and orderly development of algorithms.Originality/valueIn this paper, firstly, the standards of fairness are comprehensively sorted out, and the difference between different standards and evaluation focuses is clarified, and secondly, focusing on the marketing scenario, combined with its characteristics, key fairness evaluation links are put forward, and different standards are innovatively selected to evaluate the fairness in the process of applying marketing algorithms and to build the corresponding index system, which forms the systematic fairness evaluation tool of marketing algorithms.

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A survey of multimodal machine learning
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  • SHILAP Revista de lepidopterología
  • Peng Chen + 5 more

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Analysis of Multimodal Data Using Deep Learning and Machine Learning
  • Dec 31, 2017
  • Asian Journal of Humanity, Art and Literature
  • Swetha Reddy Thodupunori

A modality is an event or experience. Life is multimodal, see, hear, smell, feel, and taste. Multimodal experiences involve some world modalities. Artificial intelligence must grasp multimodal views to understand our surroundings. Multimodal machine learning models interact and correlate input from several modalities. It's a multi-disciplinary field with great potential. In this study, we analyze emerging multimodal machine learning technologies and categorize them scientifically rather than focusing on specific multimodal applications. Multimodal machine learning offers more potential and problems than classifications. Most multimodal learning research collects quantitative data from polls and surveys. This research reviews a detailed library of observational studies on multimodal data (MMD) skills for human learning using artificial intelligence-powered approaches including Machine Learning and Deep Learning. This research also describes how MMD has improved learning and in what environments. This paper discusses multimodal learning and its ongoing improvements and approaches to improving learning. Finally, future researchers should carefully consider building a system that aligns multimodal aspects with the study and learning plan. These elements could enhance multimodal learning by facilitating theory and practice activities. This research lays the groundwork for multimodal data use in future learning technologies and development.

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  • 10.1109/tpami.2024.3420239
Vision + X: A Survey on Multimodal Learning in the Light of Data.
  • Dec 1, 2024
  • IEEE transactions on pattern analysis and machine intelligence
  • Ye Zhu + 3 more

We are perceiving and communicating with the world in a multisensory manner, where different information sources are sophisticatedly processed and interpreted by separate parts of the human brain to constitute a complex, yet harmonious and unified sensing system. To endow the machines with true intelligence, multimodal machine learning that incorporates data from various sources has become an increasingly popular research area with emerging technical advances in recent years. In this paper, we present a survey on multimodal machine learning from a novel perspective considering not only the purely technical aspects but also the intrinsic nature of different data modalities. We analyze the commonness and uniqueness of each data format mainly ranging from vision, audio, text, and motions, and then present the methodological advancements categorized by the combination of data modalities, such as Vision+Text, with slightly inclined emphasis on the visual data. We investigate the existing literature on multimodal learning from both the representation learning and downstream application levels, and provide an additional comparison in the light of their technical connections with the data nature, e.g., the semantic consistency between image objects and textual descriptions, and the rhythm correspondence between video dance moves and musical beats. We hope that the exploitation of the alignment as well as the existing gap between the intrinsic nature of data modality and the technical designs, will benefit future research studies to better address a specific challenge related to the concrete multimodal task, prompting a unified multimodal machine learning framework closer to a real human intelligence system.

  • Supplementary Content
  • Cite Count Icon 14
  • 10.1002/advs.202406242
Bio‐Plausible Multimodal Learning with Emerging Neuromorphic Devices
  • Sep 11, 2024
  • Advanced Science
  • Haonan Sun + 7 more

Multimodal machine learning, as a prospective advancement in artificial intelligence, endeavors to emulate the brain's multimodal learning abilities with the objective to enhance interactions with humans. However, this approach requires simultaneous processing of diverse types of data, leading to increased model complexity, longer training times, and higher energy consumption. Multimodal neuromorphic devices have the capability to preprocess spatio‐temporal information from various physical signals into unified electrical signals with high information density, thereby enabling more biologically plausible multimodal learning with low complexity and high energy‐efficiency. Here, this work conducts a comparison between the expression of multimodal machine learning and multimodal neuromorphic computing, followed by an overview of the key characteristics associated with multimodal neuromorphic devices. The bio‐plausible operational principles and the multimodal learning abilities of emerging devices are examined, which are classified into heterogeneous and homogeneous multimodal neuromorphic devices. Subsequently, this work provides a detailed description of the multimodal learning capabilities demonstrated by neuromorphic circuits and their respective applications. Finally, this work highlights the limitations and challenges of multimodal neuromorphic computing in order to hopefully provide insight into potential future research directions.

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