Abstract

This paper calculates the carbon emissions from energy consumption of 30 provinces in China through 2000-2010, and research correlation of factors such as regional economic gap and regional characteristics of carbon emissions in the process of regional economic coordinated development. The LMDI decomposition model is used to decompose the growth rate of China’s carbon emissions into 4 types of driving factors, i.e. GDP, industrial pollutants emission intensity, industrial structure and imbalance of regional economic development, to analyze influence of scale effect, technical effect, industrial structure effect and regional spatial structure effect on carbon emissions in the process of China's regional economic development. The results show that: The scale effect is determinants of carbon emissions increasing. The technical effect is the most important force to inhibit the increment of carbon emissions. Industrial structure effect and regional spatial structure effect on carbon emissions are not yet stable, but have a certain pull impact on increasing carbon emissions.

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