Abstract

The increasing prevalence of cyanobacteria-dominated harmful algal blooms is strongly associated with nutrient loading and changing climatic patterns. Changes to precipitation frequency and intensity, as predicted by current climate models, are likely to affect bloom development and composition through changes in nutrient fluxes and water column mixing. However, few studies have directly documented the effects of extreme precipitation events on cyanobacterial composition, biomass, and toxin production. We tracked changes in a eutrophic reservoir following an extreme precipitation event, describing an atypically early toxin-producing cyanobacterial bloom and successional progression of the phytoplankton community, toxins, and geochemistry. An increase in bioavailable phosphorus by more than 27-fold in surface waters preceded notable increases in Aphanizomenon flos-aquae throughout the reservoir approximately 2 weeks postevent and ∼5 weeks before blooms typically occur. Anabaenopeptin-A and three microcystin congeners (microcystin-LR, -YR, and -RR) were detected at varying levels across sites during the bloom period, which lasted between 3 and 5 weeks. These findings suggest extreme rainfall can trigger early cyanobacterial bloom initiation, effectively elongating the bloom season period of potential toxicity. However, effects will vary depending on factors including the timing of rainfall and reservoir physical structure.

Highlights

  • Harmful algal blooms (HABs) have increased in intensity, frequency, and distribution acrossCanada and the world (Ho, Michalak, & Pahlevan, 2019; Orihel et al, 2012; Pick, 2016)

  • Synthesis and applications: These findings suggest extreme rainfall can trigger early cyanobacterial bloom initiation, effectively elongating the bloom season period of potential toxicity

  • Despite predicted climatic changes in both temperature and precipitation patterns (IPCC, 2007; McDermid, Fera, & Hogg, 2015), less attention has been given to the importance of precipitation regime changes, which may have an even greater impact on cyanobacteria bloom dynamics due to mixing and nutrient cycles

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Summary

Introduction

Harmful algal blooms (HABs) have increased in intensity, frequency, and distribution acrossCanada and the world (Ho, Michalak, & Pahlevan, 2019; Orihel et al, 2012; Pick, 2016). Despite predicted climatic changes in both temperature and precipitation patterns (IPCC, 2007; McDermid, Fera, & Hogg, 2015), less attention has been given to the importance of precipitation regime changes, which may have an even greater impact on cyanobacteria bloom dynamics due to mixing and nutrient cycles (reviewed in Reichwaldt and Ghadouani 2012). Extreme rainfall events, both in terms of frequency and intensity, are one of the many climatic components predicted to change over the quarter century

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