Abstract

This paper studies the effects of time limits on abortion and welfare participation of low-income pregnant single females who may or may not have other children. In doing this, I explore the presence and nature (if it exists) of simultaneity in abortion and welfare participation. The results indicate that time limits, childcare and abortion subsidies, and public assistance payments are linked to abortion. In addition, the results indicate time limits simultaneously reduce welfare enrollments and increase abortion among low-income childless single pregnant females, and trigger abortion and shorter stays on welfare of low-income pregnant mothers. Thus, future empirical work should account for simultaneity of abortion and welfare participation.

Highlights

  • The results indicate that time limits, childcare and abortion subsidies, and public assistance payments are linked to abortion

  • This paper focuses on the effect of time limits on abortion to explore the simultaneity of abortion and welfare participation, which may explain why [5] rejected their second hypothesis: diversion payments and Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) eligibility for low-income women who are childless and pregnant increase abortion incidence

  • The results in this paper indicate a behavioral response to time limits may simultaneously reduce welfare program enrollment and increase abortion incidence among lowincome childless single pregnant females

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Summary

Introduction

A limited number of mostly empirical studies identify another contributing factor to the decline in abortion incidence [2,3,4,5]. This paper focuses on the effect of time limits on abortion to explore the simultaneity of abortion and welfare participation, which may explain why [5] rejected their second hypothesis: diversion payments and TANF eligibility for low-income women who are childless and pregnant increase abortion incidence. This issue should concern researchers because failing to account for it can bias coefficient estimates. Scant research accounts for simultaneity in welfare program participation and out-of-wedlock births [11,12], simultaneity of participation and abortion has been overlooked

Model of Pregnancy Termination and Welfare Enrollment
The Budget Constraint
A P K 1 A P
A Y K 1 A Y
Constrained Lifetime Utility
Welfare Reform’s Effect on Pregnancy Termination
T0 1 1
Other Policy Effects
Conclusions
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