Exploring robustness management for dynamic technology fusion

Abstract

The concepts of technology fusion describe the phenomenon of technology overlap. Despite its importance, the evolutionary trajectories of technology fusion are not explored well. The main contributions of this article have two aspects: One is the mathematical modeling of a two-dimensional technology fusion system with technical efficiency and convergence parameters that can determine the evolution trajectories of technology fusion; the other is to reveal the dynamics of the evolution process through robust analysis and improving the stability of technology fusion under external disturbances. A novel technology fusion analysis method is proposed for technology fusion by applying dynamic development scenarios of manufacturing technology and information technology to be robust under external disturbances. In this article, firstly, we introduce technical efficiency and convergence parameters to establish a two-dimensional technology fusion system. Secondly, according to the characteristics of different fusion stages, we select the order parameters at each stage and establish order parameters function to determine the evolution trajectories of technology fusion. Finally, the fixed-point theory and the bifurcation theory are used to analyze the robustness of each stage, and the robust theorem at different technology fusion stages is proposed. The research results show: (1) We find that the characteristics analysis of technology fusion can divide the technology fusion process into three different stages, and the main characteristics of each stage as the order parameter can better reveal the evolution trajectory of technology fusion. (2) We find that the dynamics of technology fusion are caused by competition between the driving force and the dissipating force in the process of technology fusion. (3) We find that the dynamics of the technology fusion process may cause technology fusion to fall into chaos. (4) We find that by reasonably changing the relationship between the driving force and the dissipating force, the technology fusion process can be kept stable.