Examining Cycle Threshold values in Repeat SARS-CoV-2 Cases: A Retrospective Analysis in Ireland

Abstract

Abstract Background Effective public health management during the COVID-19 pandemic requires accurate differentiation between re-infections and residual viral RNA detections in repeat positive cases. This study investigates cycle threshold (CT) trends in repeat SARS-CoV-2 cases to discern between persistent viral remnants and active infections. Collaboration between contact tracing and laboratories is essential for shaping robust public health strategies. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 427 individuals with repeat positive PCR tests. Data was collected at a contact tracing centre from March to August 2021. Key variables including age, gender, and biomedical markers (test intervals, CT values) were examined. Regression and correlation techniques assessed CT trends and their implications. Results Younger individuals (<60 years) occasionally exhibited significantly lower CT values in subsequent tests, suggesting potential re-infections, while older adults generally displayed higher CT values indicative of residual RNA. These age-specific CT trends were statistically significant and instrumental in refining testing protocols and isolation guidelines. Further analysis is expected to strengthen these findings Conclusions Collaborative approaches between contact tracing and laboratories are vital in shaping robust public health strategies for distinguishing between types of repeat infections. Revision of health policies is imperative to prevent unnecessary isolation and optimise healthcare workforce allocation during ongoing transmission periods. Key messages • Decisive decision-making skills are crucial in managing repeat SARS-CoV-2 infections. • Revised health policies align testing and isolation practices with empirical CT data, enhancing public health efficacy.