Abstract
The outcomes and factors that influence survival in patients with oligometastasis (OM) are not well understood and have not been well described in large-scale studies. To evaluate overall progression-free survival (PFS), widespread progression (WSP) outcomes, and survival factors from a pooled data set of 1033 patients with OM treated with stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT). Case series from January 1, 2008, to December 31, 2016. The dates of analysis were April 2019 to May 2020. The setting was multi-institutional tertiary care hospitals. Participants were consecutive patients with 5 or fewer extracranial OMs whose primary tumor was treated curatively. Definitive SBRT. Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival, rate of WSP, patterns of failure, and factors altering OS. In the largest international OM case series to date (1033 participants) (mean age, 68.0 years [range, 18.0-94.3 years]; 601 [58.2%] men), 1416 SBRT courses were delivered to patients with 1 OM (596 [57.7%]), 2 OMs (245 [23.7%]), 3 OMs (105 [10.2%]), 4 OMs (55 [5.3%]), and 5 OMs (32 [3.1%]). The median follow-up was 24.1 months (range, 0.3-104.7 months), and the median OS was 44.2 months (95% CI, 39.2-48.8 months). The median PFS was 12.9 months (95% CI, 11.6-14.2 months), and the median time to WSP was 42.5 months (95% CI, 36.8-53.5 months). The OS rates were 84.1% (95% CI, 81.7%-86.2%) at 1 year, 56.7% (95% CI, 53.0%-60.2%) at 3 years, and 35.2% (95% CI, 30.1%-40.3%) at 5 years. The 3-year OS, PFS, and WSP rates were 56.7% (95% CI, 53.0%-60.2%), 23.0% (95% CI, 20.2%-25.9%), and 45.2% (95% CI, 41.4%-48.9%), respectively. The 5-year OS, PFS, and WSP rates were 35.2% (95% CI, 30.1%-40.3%), 14.8% (95% CI, 11.9%-17.9%), and 54.5% (95% CI, 49.8%-59.2%), respectively. At the time of first progression, 342 patients (33.1%) had recurrence of OM disease, and 230 patients (22.3%) underwent subsequent ablative therapies to all known metastatic sites. Multivariable analyses identified primary tumor type (hazard ratio [HR], 3.73; 95% CI, 1.75-7.94; P < .001 for breast; 5.75; 95% CI, 2.88-11.46; P < .001 for colorectal; 4.67; 95% CI, 2.12-10.31; P < .001 for kidney; 10.61; 95% CI, 5.36-20.99; P < .001 for lung; and 12.00; 95% CI, 6.06-23.76; P < .001 for other [with prostate being the reference group]), metachronous OM presentation more than 24 months since initial diagnosis (HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.49-0.80; P < .001), metastases confined to the lung only (HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.48-0.72; P < .001), and nodal or soft-tissue metastases only (HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.26-0.90; P = .02) as survival factors. Sixty-six (6.4%) grade 3 or higher toxic effects were observed, including 1 (0.1%) grade 5 event. This study found favorable long-term OS and WSP rates associated with extracranial OM ablated with SBRT; however, modest PFS rates were observed. A substantial proportion of patients with OM developed progressive disease and were treated with local ablation. Factors that can inform clinical decision-making and clinical trial design include primary tumor type, a metachronous presentation more than 24 months since diagnosis, and the site of OM presentation.
Highlights
The historical results after surgical metastatectomy in select patients with solitary metastases[1,2] and more recently using stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) for patients with oligometastasis (OM) suggest the potential for cure based on a small population of long-term survivors from both of these scenarios.[3]
Multivariable analyses identified primary tumor type, metachronous OM presentation more than 24 months since initial diagnosis (HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.490.80; P < .001), metastases confined to the lung only (HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.48-0.72; P < .001), and nodal or soft-tissue metastases only (HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.26-0.90; P = .02) as survival factors
This study found favorable long-term overall survival (OS) and widespread progression (WSP) rates associated with extracranial OM ablated with SBRT; modest progression-free survival (PFS) rates were observed
Summary
The historical results after surgical metastatectomy in select patients with solitary metastases[1,2] and more recently using stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) for patients with oligometastasis (OM) suggest the potential for cure based on a small population of long-term survivors from both of these scenarios.[3] Skepticism remains as to the contribution of local ablative treatment, as opposed to the impact of effective systemic therapies or an indolent natural cancer history.[4] Clinical trials have reported overall survival (OS) or progression-free survival (PFS) benefits specific to localized metastatic tumor ablation.[5,6,7,8] the evidence is limited to small phase 2 randomized clinical trials (RCTs),[6,8,9,10] with no confirmatory phase 3 RCTs to date and no robust large series reporting detailed outcomes.
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