Abstract
Non-insulin-dependent diabetes may become a public health problem in the next decade, given the increasing life expectancy of populations and because the baby-boom generation will reach the age at risk. Moreover a modification of the diagnostic criteria may increase the number of diabetic patients. We studied the evolution of diabetes prevalence. A non-specific household survey, performed every 10 years was used. Patients who bought an oral antidiabetic drug during these studies were classified as diabetics. In 1980-81 and 1991-92 the crude diabetes prevalences were not significantly different even if there was a trend to increase (1.27% and 1.41%, respectively). When the 1980-81 prevalence was standardized to the age distribution of the 1991-92 sample, the trend disappeared (prevalence 1980-81:1.35%). There was no increase in an individual's risk of diabetes. However the crude prevalence tended to increase because of the changing age structure of the population. On-going studies are needed to follow the prevalence of diabetes during the next decade.
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