Abstract
The contemporary studies on drug abuse have blamed the increasing menace of drug abuse on failure of governments to enact adequate laws prohibiting drug abuse and failure to place strict border controls to prevent entry of drugs. Others have blamed social media and modernization as key players towards the current trends of drug abuse. As a result studies have shifted from studying factors leading to drug abuse as these seem to be obvious to studying covariates that leading to improved probabilities of recovery upon treatment. Female substance users are said to be proportionately more likely to recover from drug use than male substance abusers. However studies have showed that female drug users experience low turnout for treatment from drug abuse. With the increasing trend of women drug users seeking treatment there is an urgent need to estimate survival probability of drug use subjects based on marital status, age, gender and job status. This study sought to determine the survival probability of drug users in Kenya for the period between July 2013 and June 2015. Kaplan Meier analysis was used to determine the survival probability of a subject entering into drug use at different stages of life based on predictive covariates. Survival probability of drug users based on age, gender, marital status and employment status was determined. The study recommended that there significant differences in survival probability based on gender, age, marital status and employment status. Therefore the study recommended that treatment services be tailored on treating subjects based on these predictive covariates.
Highlights
Illicit drug use is a serious health problem to many countries
Survival Probability of Drug Users Based on Marital Status
Information collected from medical records of each patient on marital status was carried out in order to study its relationship of study covariates with survival rate
Summary
Illicit drug use is a serious health problem to many countries. In Kenya drug abuse has continued to raise attention due to the increasing population of drug users. Drug abuse has adverse health effects (Degenhardt and Hall (2012) These effects include the acute toxic effect, the acute effect of intoxication (such as Accidental injury and violence related to alcohol intake), development of dependence and adverse health effects of continued regular use (for example chronic somatic disease and mental disorders). Research has showed that five percentage of all deaths in young people between 15-29 years worldwide can be related to alcohol use The majority of those alcohol-related deaths are linked to accidents (Gore et al, 2011; Rehm et al, 2009). Potential adverse health effects of substance use are more often related to acute toxic effect and acute effect of intoxication (such as accidental injury and violence related to alcohol intake) in adolescents than when compared to adults. Regular use of substances has shown to have a major impact on future mental well-being, which in turn may be linked to different types of negative health outcomes (Volkow & Li, 2005)
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