Equal probability sampling

Abstract

AbstractThis chapter presents a formal quantitative treatment of material covered conceptually in Chapter 2, all with respect to equal probability with replacement (SWR) and without replacement selection simple random sampling, (SRS) of samples of size n from a finite population of size N. Small sample space examples are used to illustrate unbiasedness of mean-per-unit estimators of the mean, total and proportion of the target variable, y, for SWR and SRS. Explicit formulas for sampling variance indicate how estimator uncertainty depends on finite population variance, sample size and sampling fraction. Measures of the relative performance of alternative sampling strategies (relative precision, relative efficiency, net relative efficiency) are introduced and applied to mean-per-unit estimators used for the SWR and SRS selection methods. Normality of the sampling distribution of the SRS mean-per-unit estimator depends on sample size but also on the shape of the distribution of the target variable, y, values over the finite population units. Normality of the sampling distribution is required to justify construction of valid 95% confidence intervals that may be constructed around sample estimates based on unbiased estimates of sampling variance. Methods to calculate sample size to achieve accuracy objectives are presented. Additional topics include Bernoulli sampling (a without replacement selection scheme for which sample size is a random variable), the Rao–Blackwell theorem (which allows improvement of estimators that are based on selection methods which may result in repeated selection of the same units), oversampling and nonresponse.