Enhancing Resiliency Feature in Smart Grids through a Deep Learning Based Prediction Model

Abstract

Background: Enhancing the resiliency of electric power grids is becoming a crucial issue due to the outages that have recently occurred. One solution could be the prediction of imminent failure that is engendered by line contingency or grid disturbances. Therefore, a number of researchers have initiated investigations to generate techniques for predicting outages. However, extended blackouts can still occur due to the frailty of distribution power grids. Objective: This paper implements a proactive prediction model based on deep-belief networks to predict the imminent outages using previous historical blackouts, trigger alarms, and suggest solutions for blackouts. These actions can prevent outages, stop cascading failures and diminish the resulting economic losses. Methods: The proposed model is divided into three phases: A, B and C. The first phase (A) represents the initial segment that collects and extracts data and trains the deep belief network using the collected data. Phase B defines the Power outage threshold and determines whether the grid is in a normal state. Phase C involves detecting potential unsafe events, triggering alarms and proposing emergency action plans for restoration. Results: Different machine learning and deep learning algorithms are used in our experiments to validate our proposition, such as Random forest, Bayesian nets and others. Deep belief Networks can achieve 97.30% accuracy and 97.06% precision. Conclusion: The obtained findings demonstrate that the proposed model would be convenient for blackouts’ prediction and that the deep-belief network represents a powerful deep learning tool that can offer plausible results.