Abstract
Nuclear negotiation with DPRK is a geopolitical as well as Inter-Korean issues. DPRK is one of important geopolitical issues of USA and handled by 6-party talk, while DPRK is also inter-Korean issue of ROK. The sequencing of the two processes has significant impact on the future of Korean peninsular and the stability of East Asia. However, negotiation between US and DPRK on nuclear issues has been dragged for a decade. The future of the Korean peninsula will depend on whether DPRK could survive with nuclear capabilities in the short-term and on how the balance of power would emerge between the U.S. China, Japan and Russia and especially on how Sino-American relations develop in the long-term. This paper intends to review the geopolitical context and diplomatic relationship in East Asia region and Korean peninsula. The interests and the options of six party talk members are reviewed adopting negotiation framework. Possible options are suggested to make the negotiation more successful. Key words: North Korea, nuclear negotiation, six-party talk.
Highlights
GeopoliticsGlobally, the world is in a transition in which power is shifting from mono-polarity to multi-polarity as the power of the U.S was declining in relation to such other rising powers as China, India, Russia and Brazil
DPRK’s sudden change would have a tremendous impact on the Northeast Asian security configuration that would determine the future of the Korea peninsular
Since DPRK under Kim Jong Il has little incentive to give up its efforts for Nuclear capability, and China can capitalize its advantage over US, US can maintain flexibility and control by using two channels of dialogue with DPRK instead of adhering to only Six-Party Talk framework
Summary
Nuclear negotiation with DPRK is a geopolitical as well as Inter-Korean issues. DPRK is one of important geopolitical issues of USA and handled by 6-party talk, while DPRK is inter-Korean issue of ROK. The sequencing of the two processes has significant impact on the future of Korean peninsular and the stability of East Asia. The future of the Korean peninsula will depend on whether DPRK could survive with nuclear capabilities in the short-term and on how the balance of power would emerge between the U.S China, Japan and Russia and especially on how Sino-American relations develop in the long-term. This paper intends to review the geopolitical context and diplomatic relationship in East Asia region and Korean peninsula. The interests and the options of six party talk members are reviewed adopting negotiation framework.
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