Abstract
Slowing down spectra, LET spectra, hit probabilities, and radiation doses were simulated for the interaction of single 218Po and 214Po alpha particles with sensitive basal and secretory cell nuclei in the bronchial epithelium of human and rat lungs for defined exposure conditions. Probabilities per unit track length for transformation, derived from in vitro experiments with C3H 10T1/2 cells, were used to estimate transformation probabilities for randon progeny alpha particles in basal and secretory cells. Different weighting schemes were assumed to relate cellular hit probabilities, doses and transformation probabilities, obtained for different cell depths and airway generations, to lung cancer risk per unit exposure. In vitro transformation and in vivo lung cancer incidence were simulated by a state-vector model which provides a stochastic formulation of dose-rate dependent cellular transitions related to formation of double strand breaks, repair, inactivation, stimulated mitosis and promotion through loss of intercellular communication.
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